In a new essay for *Defining Ideas*, Senior Fellow [Thomas H. Henriksen](https://www.hoover.org/profiles/thomas-h-henriksen) argues that no matter how the war in Ukraine is resolved, “another political and military hotspot is likely to erupt in the Baltic Sea and nearby Arctic Ocean.” He reviews how Russia has already engaged in sabotage of undersea cables in the region and continues to provoke European nations such as Finland with military build ups and psychological operations along western borders. Henriksen sees all this as a systematic and deliberate preparation by Russia for future cross-border aggression. As he concludes, “the Russian Federation has adopted a short-of-war strategy requiring the United States and NATO to respond to an evolving campaign against hybrid tactics while preparing to wage future large-scale military operations in the Baltic Sea and the Arctic arena.”
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In a new essay for *Defining Ideas*, Senior Fellow [Thomas H. Henriksen](https://www.hoover.org/profiles/thomas-h-henriksen) argues that no matter how the war in Ukraine is resolved, “another political and military hotspot is likely to erupt in the Baltic Sea and nearby Arctic Ocean.” He reviews how Russia has already engaged in sabotage of undersea cables in the region and continues to provoke European nations such as Finland with military build ups and psychological operations along western borders. Henriksen sees all this as a systematic and deliberate preparation by Russia for future cross-border aggression. As he concludes, “the Russian Federation has adopted a short-of-war strategy requiring the United States and NATO to respond to an evolving campaign against hybrid tactics while preparing to wage future large-scale military operations in the Baltic Sea and the Arctic arena.”