Die koreanische Bevölkerung könnte in den nächsten 100 Jahren um 85% sinken: Studie
https://www.koreaherald.com/article/10522978
Die koreanische Bevölkerung könnte in den nächsten 100 Jahren um 85% sinken: Studie
https://www.koreaherald.com/article/10522978
16 Kommentare
From the article
South Korea’s population could plummet to just 15 percent of its current level by 2125 if the nation’s ongoing demographic decline continues unabated, according to a private think tank in Seoul on Wednesday.
In its latest long-term forecast, the Korean Peninsula Population Institute for Future used a cohort component method to project Korea’s demographic trends over the next century. This internationally recognized technique estimates future populations by incorporating factors such as birth rates, mortality rates and immigration patterns.
Under the institute’s worst-case scenario, South Korea’s population could drop to 7.53 million by 2125 — a sharp fall from the current 51.68 million. This would be even less than the current population of the city of Seoul alone, which is over 9.3 million.
Too bad they don’t like immigrants.
I am here in Africa, they will add another billion people over the next 25 years.
Drastic studies like this rarely account for changes in behavior.
So all North Korea needs to do to win is hang on for 100 years then must walk across the DMZ
Kurzgesagt did a video on this recently.
Not looking good for S. Korea.
https://youtu.be/Ufmu1WD2TSk?si=8UXtDiqY6coAAib_
It seems to me there is no way that societal structure wouldn’t fall apart well before those population drop levels.
Good.
What was the population 100 years ago? Out of curiosity….
Who would win? South Korea vs South Africa vs South Sudan vs South America vs New South Wales?
I wonder how the figures are distributed by socio-professional category and wealth class, it could also give an indicator of the type of change, will the poor resist better and there will be this delta resulting in a country with a less wealthy class who will have to climb the social ladder without having benefited from inheritance or will they disappear to the benefit of the wealthier managerial classes, if the wealthy classes have more children, then Korean society will have a stronger middle-class base, which will have earned their wealth through inheritance (which should lead to even richer people); if the wealthy Koreans don’t have children, then the wealth of these families will be extinguished to the benefit of the state, without any generational redistribution.
We could also ask questions about other themes, such as religion. Let’s say by example that Protestants have far more children there, and that these children are adult Protestants, so we could observe a fairly strong natural progression in this theme.
By 2050 the world economic forum wants to drop the world’s population under 4 billion. Goal is 1/2 a million total. It’s part of the green deal
2012 and 2020 they admitted they wanted to accomplish this by mandatory vaccines
It’s even in their Covid 19 book. They also have newspaper articles about it
Also Bill Gates has a full formula for this as well
What’s the reason for this sharp decline in birth rates?
The answer obviously to import millions of third world peasants with low IQ, no formal education, and high propensity to violence.
Probably when house prices start being more accessible, education easy to get and parents quality of life in general more valued, people will start having more kids.
North K will just have to wait for their neighbour to collapse by itself.
As a Korean man if you’re not Nam Joo-hyuk Korean woman will have a longer list of requirements than joining the Navy SEALs.
“Mom, can we have more Koreans?” — “We have Koreans at home!”
In all seriousness, it is interesting to see these predictions for stark drop offs in population a couple decades after similar fear-mongering about overpopulation. Both are clearly righteous in the danger of the threat. But it’s hard to know exactly what will happen. Diaspora populations aren’t going to come back, but imagine what would happen if the world’s “Irish” went to live in Ireland, for example.