Pape: Präzisionsschläge werden das iranische Atomprogramm oder seine Regierung nicht zerstören
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/israels-futile-air-war
Pape: Präzisionsschläge werden das iranische Atomprogramm oder seine Regierung nicht zerstören
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/israels-futile-air-war
5 Kommentare
UChicago political scientist Robert A. Pape argues that Israel’s precision air strikes against Iran will ultimately prove futile. On the basis of no country in history has successfully toppled a government and eliminated its major military capability using airpower alone, Pape argues that Israel will not succeed in that either, despite being the strongest military power in the Middle East. Pape evaluates the impediments facing Israel in knocking out Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and also the potential for the United States to join the conflict.
A couple of more days like the last days… and Israel would have so much control that it could be simply fly in some special unit to conquer the reactor and bomb it from within. They don’t really need USA for the practical job of eliminating the reactor it’s just political, and maybe it’s even a prior deal between the Israel and USA
Israel is the tail that wags the American dog.
Israel does what it thinks it needs to do and ‚Murica goes along for the ride.
This relationship will continue here. ‚Murica is already involved as a weapons supplier, they will soon give direct support and then ramp up to active fire missions.
Give it time.
As usual, nobody has anything constructive to say about what Israel should do. Only criticism that Israel should not do whatever it is doing.
Surely Israeli planners recognize that striking the Iranian nuclear program is a fraught path to safety. But what other path is there?
I genuinely don’t understand the argument Pape and others make that these strikes make it more likely for Iran to get a nuclear weapon.
They weren’t following the NPT. They weren’t following the JCPOA.
Every time they have reached a deal, they’ve gone behind it and continued working on nuclear weapons programs in secret.
They not only enriched uranium WAY beyond any civilian application but nearly doubled their stockpile of 60% enriched uranium in the past few months. They have enough enriched uranium at this point for multiple warheads.
However this ends, not striking their nuclear facilities would almost certainly end in Iran becoming a nuclear power.