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    1. Submission Statement: „President Tokayev has restored order since ‚Bloody January‘ and boosted Kazakhstan’s image, but Russia’s economic weakness and tougher US sanctions could cause big problems.“ Charles Sullivan discusses Kazakhstan’s precarious geopolitical position under President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev following the violent protests of January 2022. While Tokayev has strengthened his leadership through political reforms and foreign investment, Kazakhstan’s increasing economic ties with Russia pose risks due to potential stagflation and looming Western sanctions against Moscow. Tokayev aims to project Kazakhstan as a „middle power,“ but his lack of genuine political liberalization could destabilize domestic relations.

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