NDP -Führer Naheed Nenshi ist ernsthaft unterdurchschnittlich und die Menschen beginnen zu bemerken
https://open.substack.com/pub/albertapolitics/p/ndp-leader-naheed-nenshi-is-seriously?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=1j3aab
NDP -Führer Naheed Nenshi ist ernsthaft unterdurchschnittlich und die Menschen beginnen zu bemerken
https://open.substack.com/pub/albertapolitics/p/ndp-leader-naheed-nenshi-is-seriously?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=1j3aab
10 Kommentare
NDP as a whole is underperforming.
Except for Wab. He keeps on winning over and over! I hope it stays like that.
Many folks from Calgary were warning that the lustre of Nenshi had worn off prior to his last term as Mayor ending. But the „big name“ and „star power“ were more important to NDP members.
I am starting to see some parallels between Nenshi and Bonnie Crombie in Ontario.
1. Both very successful and popular as heads of municipal governments. But that doesn’t always transfer to provincial politics (e.g., John Tory won 3 Mayoral elections in Toronto, but his stint as OPC leader in the 2000s was a flaming dumpster fire).
2. A sense of entitlement like they can coast to the Premiership on name recognition alone just by showing up and not doing the necessary work.
3. Underestimating their opponents. Doug Ford and Danielle Smith may not be the sharpest knives in the drawer, but they have shrewd political acumen and an ear for prevailing populist sentiment. That makes them powerful adversaries in elections where the vote distribution is already rigged in their favour.
Naa , he’s not even official yet .
There’s a lot going on in Alberta and on a federal level.
Nenshi is smart to shadow for now. He can let Smith cook for now with the sepretist, see how the federal situation plays out a bit before jumping into the choas .
I suspect he’s saving the ammo to compile for more suitable timing . If Carney pulls some unity moves off, Smiths support will be disrupted severely from multiple demographics and Nenshi will be able to enter the conversation with out as heavy of a monkey on his back that the Liberals have been to Albertas NDP.
NDP insider sniping is legendary. They are lucky to have him, but shouldn’t expect him to engage with Smith, and her far-right extremist coalition. It would be pointless. They will burn themselves out, while he is waiting in the long grass, building his strength and strategizing to exploit the UCP weaknesses.
Holding off a by-election likely fizzled any bump for Nenshi. That wouldn’t explain a moribund performance this far out. Personally I dont find the ANDP provide any substantive difference in their criticism. Its all the typical boilerplate statements you can scroll right past. I also don’t think Nenshi has it in him to be more critical of the federal government. He should have been right out there bashing Trudeau, everyone else seemed to figure it out. Now he should be expressing some healthy skeptical towards the federal government.
Nenshi doesn’t have a seat in the Legislature. He’s relegated to social media posts and media appearances. Because Smith has intentionally neglected to call a by-election in the riding that he’s running in until *very* recently. It’s been vacant for nearly 6 months now.
I think its early days still, but the NDP definitely need to get their act together and stop being so invisible.
Nenshi can be a hell of a communicator when he wants to be, but he hasn’t really brought the heat and the passion he needs to.
I’m hoping once he gets a seat things will pick up, because right now the NDP are coasting to a big loss next election when they should be making Smith’s life a lot more miserable.
I think the underlying issue is that the Alberta NDP has never had any sort of success without Notley as leader. And, their election win looks like mostly the perfect storm of Notley’s extremely high likeability, and the right vote being nearly perfectly split. It was never reasonable to expect a new leader to suddenly recapture 2015, especially with 2015 conditions unlikely to happen again unless the UCP implodes and splits into 2 parties.
I think the Alberta NDP really suffers from being branded with the federal NDP, and how toxic that brand is, and they really need to consider cutting ties and completely rebranding.
My understanding of it is that his chances of winning went out the window when Carney won. A conservative government in Alberta opposite a federal Liberal government is unbeatable.