Mark Carney versprach innerhalb eines Jahrzehnts eine halbe Million neue Häuser pro Jahr. Folgendes würde es brauchen, um dorthin zu gelangen – thestar.com
https://www.thestar.com/real-estate/mark-carney-promised-half-a-million-new-homes-a-year-within-a-decade-heres-what/article_27746484-b643-4286-8417-3bd76bfb15e6.html
6 Kommentare
We could get there , not this year but probably in 3.
Carney has a great method will just have to see if the plan can be actually put together with our government in a way that it will function to the desired result .
I dont know if he’ll actually be able to get there but what is refreshing is that a politician is acknowledging the scale of the problem and the numbers are realistic after years of politicians promising incredibly small changes that wouldn’t make a dent in the actual problem.
It’s been incredibly frustrating over the 10 years watching people pat themselves on the back on projects that would add only 50-100 units. Things like that literally don’t make any difference because the deficit is so large.
It’s a very sensible plan imo.
I remember as a kid, my dad telling me about wartime housing and how the government stepped in and went crazy building homes. For years I wondered why we didn’t just do that again, and so I was quite excited for Carney to come on the scene and basically posit exactly that.
The only way it happens is by opening up low cost financing for midrise building, as was the option in the 60s/70s. No single builder/program can manage the level of capital and disparate construction required. Its gotta come from groups of Canadians, most likely professional class (which will make certain people very angry), pooling resources for construction with a decent financial return.
As someone involved in the industry – don’t hold your breath.
The very first HousingNow sites broke ground last year after John Tory announced his plans in 2018. These sites already had 5+ years of work done to them by 2018 when John Tory christened them a marketing campaign name.
That’s how long it takes projects to get built by the public sector, and the people at CreateTO absolutely know what they are doing. There is no existing institutional apparatus for the Federal government to rely upon to deliver on the housing goals. It will take years to assemble the team and plan before we even get to the implementation part of the question.
My prediction of what will happen: the market sucks right now so there are very few construction starts which will result in a supply crunch by 2029 when we likely have the next election, and Carney will look like he failed on the portfolio even if behind the scenes a lot of work and urgency does take place on this housing plan. At the same time, Carney likely recognizes this so will pour funding into CMHC programs to help get stalled projects the government-backed construction financing they need to start construction and hopefully begin delivering some units by 2029. He’ll need to work fast though.
Carney needs to change a lot about federal construction to make this viable: funding, lien laws against federal projects, GoC project delivery metrics, issue resolution mechanisms, National Building Code, prequalification processes, cashflow and liquidity, the risk pyramid/allocation amongst owners-GCs-subtrades, standard form GoC contracts, management of consultant (and their design choices), and much more.
I think it’s impossible based on how slowly government appears to move, and the insufficient expertise I’ve encountered when dealing with the feds generally – with one caveat: Defence Construction Canada, who seem to be the only ones in government who actually understand the industry.