Well I’m shocked – shocked! – that claims of signs of extraterrestrial life turn out to have insufficient statistical rigour and to have been overblown. I literally can’t believe that this could happen. I really hope something changes to make sure this doesn’t happen again.
(/s, of course…)
David_Parker on
….Thanks, Scully. The one time we thought there was actual life, and you and your degree had to come in and stomp on it.
TequilaJesus on
But the latest measurements were a 3 sigma result (99.7% certainty). In order to be absolutely certain, they would need a 5 sigma result (99.99994%). So this sign of alien life through a 99.7% certainty of the detection of Dimethyl Sulfide (DMS) and Dimethyl Disulfide (DMDS) is a pretty good statistic.
So as of now, there’s a 0.3% chance that is may just be statistical noise
Space19723103 on
there’s enough background radiation that, statistical noise may actually be alien life.
there are 3 types of lie: lies, damn lies, and statistics.
RobbyRobRobertsonJr on
Well call me shocked, you mean the so called Earth 2 that is 4 time the earths mass and orbiting a violent red dwarf star is not teeming with life and has aliens looking back at us.
titanunveiled on
We only have to wait a few hundred thousand years to verify it🤷
DarthFister on
Paywall. Are they saying they re-did the statistical analysis and it isn’t actually 3 sigma? Or are they just latching onto the 0.3% chance this is noise?
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Well I’m shocked – shocked! – that claims of signs of extraterrestrial life turn out to have insufficient statistical rigour and to have been overblown. I literally can’t believe that this could happen. I really hope something changes to make sure this doesn’t happen again.
(/s, of course…)
….Thanks, Scully. The one time we thought there was actual life, and you and your degree had to come in and stomp on it.
But the latest measurements were a 3 sigma result (99.7% certainty). In order to be absolutely certain, they would need a 5 sigma result (99.99994%). So this sign of alien life through a 99.7% certainty of the detection of Dimethyl Sulfide (DMS) and Dimethyl Disulfide (DMDS) is a pretty good statistic.
So as of now, there’s a 0.3% chance that is may just be statistical noise
there’s enough background radiation that, statistical noise may actually be alien life.
there are 3 types of lie: lies, damn lies, and statistics.
Well call me shocked, you mean the so called Earth 2 that is 4 time the earths mass and orbiting a violent red dwarf star is not teeming with life and has aliens looking back at us.
We only have to wait a few hundred thousand years to verify it🤷
Paywall. Are they saying they re-did the statistical analysis and it isn’t actually 3 sigma? Or are they just latching onto the 0.3% chance this is noise?