Was kommt als nächstes für Syrien? Ich möchte wissen, was Sie über die Zukunft Syriens nachdenken, nachdem sie die jüngsten Ereignisse bei der Tötung von Tausenden von Zivilisten unter dem Slogan: die Überreste des Regimes verfolgen. Es gab mehrere Berufungen für internationale Berufungen, aber kein Land scheint sich zu engagieren.
https://apnews.com/article/syria-alawites-sectarian-killings-coast-assad-hts-610cdee1d5762d3ecb75c700fb7cf5f2
8 Kommentare
Could really go anywhere, but to be honest from what we’ve seen the last few days, Islamic extremism seems to be the most likely end game.
This was from four days ago, we still have essentially a wait and see approach and see if instances like this are repeated.
The future is not bright for poor Muslim countries, I can guarantee you that.
Even though the scale is not small and there is significant lives lost, it is probably still considered a domestic civil unrest situation. Actual physical or material involvement by outside parties appear unlikely.
The US is probably totally uninterested given their current issues. Without the US, expecting the EU to act is unrealistic.
Russia probably doesn’t want to upset the new Syrian government and worsen their port and airbase arrangements. And the current government is well aware that Russia was a big supporter of Assad.
Turkey is not likely to commit troops either. It doesn’t really want to destabilize the new government (yet). And right now, they may be slightly distracted in dealing with the latest Kurdish matter and a ham handed approach in Syria might derail this.
Iran is probably the regime most interested in destabilization of the region. The problem is that they’re well aware that Israel is watching the situation and would respond kinetically if Iran tried to send in arms/troops.
The question is whether or not the Assad loyalist/Alowites are capable of organization at scale. If not, then this probably settles down in days/weeks. If they do organize, then the situation could get much worse although this seems less likely.
It’s silly to paint the situation as one-sided in terms of morality – it was silly during the height of the Civil War, and it is silly now. “Both” (really, many) sides commit atrocities and in turn have atrocities committed upon them. Few foreign countries are going to be willing to wade into such a situation.
As of now the new government has had success in making inroads with the Kurds and Druze. They just signed a major agreement with the (predominantly Kurdish) SDF. The main internal flashpoint is with the Alawites. It’s too early to say if the government will be able to follow up on their promises to punish those who committed atrocities against Alawite civilians, and too early to say if the pro-Assad (and predominantly Alawite) movement will grow.
They will be like Iraq or Afghanistan.
Israel is clearly the victor in all this. The DEI headcopper Jolani will destroy Syria.
Anyone paying attention knows the takfiri terrorists are to blame for the recent bloodshed, and unfortunately it’s only the beginning
Next?!?! There is no next! Just look at the history of region and there are all your answers.
Sectarian violence will not go away until there is some form of enlightenment period or two or three!