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    1. telephonecompany on

      SS: Iona Cleave, writing for *The Telegraph*, exposes how India, not China or Britain, is quietly entrenching itself in the Indian Ocean, with the suspected militarization of Agaléga emerging as the real flashpoint of regional power struggles. The once-isolated Mauritian islands are now home to a 3,000-meter airstrip, warship-capable jetty, and military hangars—transformations the islanders claim were forced upon them without transparency. India’s deep military, political, and economic grip on Mauritius, bolstered by its historical and ethnic ties, starkly outweighs China’s financial influence, despite Beijing’s heavy investment in infrastructure and trade. While Western powers eye China’s moves in Mauritius with suspicion, India’s own strategic ambitions remain largely unscrutinized, even as satellite images and diplomatic maneuvers in Washington suggest a growing military presence. The opacity surrounding the India-Mauritius deal fuels questions: is Mauritius deftly playing both sides, or merely falling deeper into New Delhi’s orbit?

      See also:

      The Spectator (UK): [Chagos – the riviera of the Indian Ocean?](https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/chagos-the-riviera-of-the-indian-ocean/) (27 February 2025)

    2. As India continues to build up its military power, its only natural that it will spread its influence across the ocean named after it. Moreover, it seems that India is moving to a Monroe doctrine for the Indian Ocean, which is why New Delhi is so keen to kick the British out. That being said, since Delhi isn’t strong enough to counter Beijing all by itself yet, American presence is tolerated in Diego Garcia, just like how the Americans had an unspoken pact with the British during their rise.

    3. So is the British leaving meant to be a polite act towards India?

      My theory is that it will entice China to start entering the area, resulting in India and China vying for naval dominance in the region. China already has its links in Africa through belt and road after all.

    4. RajarajaTheGreat on

      This just removes the middleman. Americans deal wi5h Chagos through UK now, in the future it will be India acting as the middleman.

      India has no interest in kicking the Americans out. But it would have an interest in deterring any American aggression against India like 1971. Expect to see slow long term pressure to wind down Diego Garcia. Expect rapid defence deals where India ups the intelligence gathering and power projection capabilities on the island to a modest but capable strength. Intelligence will be primary. And not on the Americans but on all shipping entering the Indian ocean through that approach.

      Diego Garcia will be American linchpin in the Indian ocean but only if India wants to play ball in the medium term. But conversely India will want the Americans just to keep the Chinese out. So the little player UK disappears and the people will stake in the region continue to engage.

      Trump’s ok for the deal was rather unexpected to UK. UK was hoping to hide behind the Americans and keep their influence but that’s gone.

      Americans lose nothing. India gains something. Chagos gains a lot. UK loses a lot.

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