Ist AI bereits den Arbeitsmarkt aufgeregt? – Harvard Gazette – 4 Trends weisen auf große Veränderungen hin, sagen Forscher, die Century of Tech -Störungen untersucht haben

From the article

A [new paper](https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w33323/w33323.pdf) by Harvard economists [David Deming](https://www.hks.harvard.edu/faculty/david-deming) and [Lawrence H. Summers](https://www.hks.harvard.edu/faculty/lawrence-h-summers) offers early evidence of artificial intelligence shaking up the workforce.

The study measures more than 100 years of “occupational churn” — or each profession’s share in the U.S. labor market — for a historical look at technological disruption. It revealed a stretch of stability between 1990 and 2017 that runs counter to popular narratives about robots stealing American jobs. But the research also uncovered a recent shift, with the authors identifying several trends driven, at least partly, by AI.

“We really thought the paper would say something like, ‘See, I told you so. Things aren’t changing all that much,’” said Deming, the Isabelle and Scott Black Professor of Political Economy at Harvard Kennedy School and Faculty Dean of Kirkland House. “But when we got into the data, we found the story was a bit more subtle — and more interesting in some ways — than anything we expected.”