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    3 Kommentare

    1. HooverInstitution on

      Writing at *Foreign Affairs*, coauthors of [On Day One: An Economic Contingency Plan for a Taiwan Crisis](https://www.hoover.org/research/day-one) [Eyck Freymann](https://www.hoover.org/profiles/eyck-freymann) and Hugo Bromley make the case that the United States must be prepared for rapid economic separation from the People’s Republic of China in the event of a Taiwan invasion or other crisis scenario. Freymann (Hoover Institution) and Bromley (Cambridge University) outline how contingency plans for escalating tariffs and revocation of China’s Permanent Normal Trade Relations status would, along with related actions, signal to American and allied countries that they need to immediately plan to exit China’s markets, should China force a „geopolitical rupture.“ As they write, “The power of the avalanche decoupling mechanism is that it harnesses market forces to create a process that gains momentum over time.” Along the way, the authors offer a number of other recommendations to accelerate „friend-shoring“ and increase economic deterrence vis-à-vis China.

    2. reeeeeeeeeebola on

      An interesting line of argument. I agree that the United States needs to “future-proof” its industries and prepare for major supply chain disruptions in the near future. I’m not confident we’ll see much other than talk.

    3. QuietRainyDay on

      This article assumes/hopes that most other countries follow the US into decoupling from China

      Meanwhile, everything the current president is doing is making it *less* likely that countries will follow the US against China.

      He is bullying and harassing every country on the planet, dissolving all remaining goodwill and trust in the US as a good, respectable partner. He is doing everything to drive countries to become *more* dependent on China.

      But the Hoover Insitution is pitching proposals for America’s allies to decouple and create a new, revitalized trade system amongst each other. Lol.

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