Was hat die politische und militärische Auswirkungen für die Rückkehr der Palästinenser in den Nord -Gaza?
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2025/01/29/what-s-the-political-and-military-impact-for-israel-of-palestinians-return-to-northern-gaza_6737565_4.html
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**More than 300,000 Gazans have already returned to this battle-ravaged part of the territory. This massive arrival will make the resumption of fighting more difficult for Israel, but the war may take other forms in the future.**
By allowing Palestinians to return to northern Gaza on Monday, January 27, as part of the ceasefire deal reached between Israel and Hamas, the Israeli government has abandoned one of its primary operations in the 15-month war waged against the Palestinian movement. The Israeli army had ordered the evacuation of this area, the most densely populated in the territory with 1.3 million residents, at the start of the war, which began with the October 7 massacre. Most of the population fled to the south, where they crowded into a so-called humanitarian zone for 15 months. The northern part of the territory, partly emptied of its inhabitants and largely destroyed by Israeli strikes, looked set to remain so for a long time to come, perhaps even becoming a new area for military installations or, according to the plans of certain settler groups, Jewish settlements.
In the space of 48 hours, some 376,000 people were able to reach the north, according to the United Nations Office for Humanitarian Affairs, which coordinates humanitarian aid, by crossing the Netzarim corridor – a no-man’s-land that the Israeli army had built to cut Gaza in two. This is the outcome of one of the clauses – along with the release of 33 hostages held by Hamas – of the first phase of the agreement, which came into force on January 19 and which few observers believed in, according to Mairav Zonszein, an analyst for the Israel-Palestine think-tank International Crisis Group: „Depopulating this part of the enclave was the Israeli army’s first real action in this war. Now that the Palestinians are returning and the truce is holding, the dynamic is changing, with strong support [in Israel] for the return of hostages, especially as no one believes Benjamin Netanyahu’s promises of ‚total victory‘ [over Hamas]. It’s going to become more complicated for Israel to take up the fight again.“
**Read the full article here:** [**https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2025/01/29/what-s-the-political-and-military-impact-for-israel-of-palestinians-return-to-northern-gaza_6737565_4.html**](https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2025/01/29/what-s-the-political-and-military-impact-for-israel-of-palestinians-return-to-northern-gaza_6737565_4.html)
To answer the question in the title of the post, the impact will likely be a slow return to the pre Oct. 7 status quo. Improvements in the situation are possible if Israel attempts to compensate the victims of its formation and expansion, starting with the families who were displaced or fragmented in the 1948 ethnic cleansing. This is the root of the Palestinian grievence against Israel, and attempts at reconciliation should probably start there.
Isnt the north of Gaza in ruins? So what do they have to go back there to?
Political – It has put an end to Israel’s dream of annexing the strip because of the Gazans‘ sheer resilience.
Militarily – It means little gains for Israel in the short term. The resistance will only grow stronger there once more, and result in less military impact thereon.
Of course, the North of Gaza will still be rubble for decades, but that’s a goal that helps nobody.
The long and short of it is that there really isn’t any impact –
Resumption of the war is inevitable.
Politically: the elimination of Hamas (regardless of practicality) is still the concensus in Israel. The hostage deal enjoys wide support but hostages are a finite resource – Once they run out, the return of Gazans to the north won’t change anything.
Militarily: Those people were living there when the war started. Now they’ll be living there when the war restarts but most of them will be homeless. What is it suppose to impact?