Trump beauftragt den US-Gesandten Kellogg, den Krieg in der Ukraine innerhalb von 100 Tagen zu beenden – WSJ
https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/trump-tasks-us-envoy-kellogg-with-ending-1737535073.html
Trump beauftragt den US-Gesandten Kellogg, den Krieg in der Ukraine innerhalb von 100 Tagen zu beenden – WSJ
https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/trump-tasks-us-envoy-kellogg-with-ending-1737535073.html
6 Kommentare
Submission Statement: the WSJ article spells out how the Russians feel about Kellogg: a „deep state“ creature whom they will not take seriously. Also, John Bolton accused Kellogg of being an official so loyal to the president that he would never speak his opinion unless asked for it.
Commentary: Any „peace negotiation“ will likely be little more than Kabuki diplomacy negotiated bilaterally between the leaders of the world’s 1st and 3rd superpowers, over the heads of Zelensky and the Europeans. If Trump pulls out of the process, expect serious escalation and attempts to coerce Europe into giving more to Ukraine.
We can avoid these silly proxy wars if the great powers would just respect eachothers spheres of influence.
Reminder that that is about 100 times longer than he promised.
Setup for failure
Before election: „I will end the war the first day“ –> Day 1, I wanted to, but the line was busy, I’ll end it in a week“ Day 2 „someone else will end the war within 100 days.“
week 2 „I never mentioned the war“
Ending the war in one day was always unrealistic and simplistic exaggeration. It’s unclear whether Trump himself understood that. Probably but I struggle to see what it gains him if he does understand. Why not just say, “we’re going to be focused on ending the war without delay” or some such thing. Of course, that’s what normal pols say and Trump is far from normal. Saying you’ll end it in a day just gives critics a free shot at you, even though everyone knows it’s impossible.
Perhaps he says things like that as a bluff. Maybe he hopes Ukraine and Russia will be frightened of him and figure out a deal but Trump blusters much more than he does. I suspect most foreign leaders have figured that out by now.