Der Höhepunkt der Ölnachfrage wird vor 2030 erwartet. Prognose für China wird zunehmend von Elektrofahrzeugen beeinflusst. Die Nachfrage außerhalb Chinas wird im Jahr 2024 unter dem Höchststand von 2018 bleiben.
https://www.iea.org/commentaries/oil-demand-growing-at-a-slower-pace-as-post-covid-rebound-runs-its-course
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“ … structural factors will lead to a gradual easing of oil demand growth over the rest of this decade. Continued rapid gains in the market share of EVs, particularly in China; steady improvements in vehicle fuel economies; and, notably, efforts by Middle Eastern economies, especially Saudi Arabia, to reduce the quantity of oil used in power generation are together expected to generate an overall peak in demand by the turn of the decade.
… the decline in global oil demand following the peak will not be a steep one, leaving demand close to current levels for some time. Nevertheless, cooling Chinese demand growth and considerable progress on the deployment of clean energy transition technologies mean that the oil market is set to enter a new and consequential period of transformation.“
Its very funny to me these days. This has been in the predictions for a year or 2 and it makes it very clear which commentors actually know the actual state of play.
This is a good thing, but will happen excruciating slowly, because there’s a lot of geopolitics around oil , money (petrodollar) and power (Russia, US, China, Middle East etc.).
Bold of you to assume peak demand is a hard limit and not just current record.
[18% of passenger vehicle sales in 2023 were electric vehicles](https://about.bnef.com/blog/electrified-transport-market-outlook-1q-2024-speed-bumps/).