Taiwan glaubt, dass Japan bei der Verteidigung gegen China helfen wird

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I think they gonna be very disappointed

Damn then China gets to reclaim a province AND gain a vassal

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I am sure someone knows this, but can Japan use its self-defense force per its Constitution to defend a foreign nation (well, a runaway region of another country or something). I imagine it absolutely cannot without an amendment. Based on Ukraine and Iran, it appears that if you are in a defensive posture, drones and ballistic missiles will bring a super power to its knees, so maybe it won’t be that one-sided with Taiwan/Japan/other Asian countries. War is horrific and stupid, however.

Military analysts seem to agree that any invasion of Taiwan by China would require China to use Japanese islands. Some uninhabited, and others inhabited. I can’t imagine that Japan would not then be helping defend Taiwan, even if not directly, just to protect its own territory. And if the US honors its treaty, it would be required to assist Japan as well.

War planning is already there. China has already telegraphed what they will do. They will attack bases stationed in Okinawa to prevent a response from JPN and the US. Another scenario is a slow start embargo which now is improbable as it increases the likelihood of increased duration of conflict, preparedness of amphibious assault, and world response. PM’s response was exactly because of these threats.

日本はかつて台湾の人々を裏切った。

敗戦後、日本は台湾の人々を白色テロ政権であった国民党の統治下へと委ね、自国を守ることを優先した。そしてその後も、数十年にわたって台湾を十分に顧みることなく、ついには国交さえ断ってしまった。

台湾日本兵のことをご存じでしょうか。彼らは日本のために命を懸けて戦ったにもかかわらず、戦後、日本政府から十分な補償を受けることはありませんでした。

だからこそ、私たちは二度と台湾の人々を裏切ってはならない。私はそう考えています。

彼らの期待を裏切れば、私たちはおそらく今後、誰からも信用されなくなるだろう。そして、誇りを捨て去った恥多き民族として歴史に記憶されることになる。

Japan says it supports Taiwan, but it doesn’t seem to sell Taiwan any good weapons.

I don’t understand why “a taiwan contingency is a japan contingency”. China ADA2 bubble from the mainland is already covers japan and poses major threat to cut off japans sea lanes. Controlling taiwan only extends that bubble a bit. It’s risking a lot of lives for very uncertain outcome.

Considered intervening, this will have high military costs, including lives lost. US victory dramatically improves the japans security situation, but losing makes it severely worse, with a highly hostile and dominant regional and probably global power. This is ignoring situations where there’s a stalemate like iran and every things blockaded.

Meanwhile staying neutral costs nothing directly bar economic fallout that happens regardless. US victory improves japans security situation although relations with US are badly damaged, but there’s also a lot less need for good relations. Chinese victory the security situation is bit worse but china might even view japan more positively for not helping the US.

Sooo they are basically saying they want to be a colony again?

Taiwan is a major trading partner. Since the US has the biggest small mind president right now, they can’t be trusted, since he only goes to war when Netanyahu tells him too.

No idea why anyone thinks anything real is going to happen. This is all just cold war esque blah blah blah where nothing will happen. The Chinese like making money too much to bother with this.

Do the Chinese enjoy water from the three gorges dam?