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    1. LastMinutesAI on

      Data: goal events from all 72 group-stage matches of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, collected through my own live-match pipeline.

      Image 1: every goal at its match minute (first-half stoppage clustered at 45, second-half stoppage tailing past 90). Colour is what the goal did to the score from the running scoreline: took the lead, equaliser, extended a lead, or scored while still behind. Counts per 15 minutes run along the top.

      Image 2: goals per minute of play, by phase. Divide by minutes actually played and regulation is basically flat (around 2 a minute). The only phase that clearly runs hot is second-half stoppage at about 3.2 a minute, roughly 1.6x normal. The “late goals” feeling is mostly because the 90+ bar bundles about 6 minutes of play into one bin.

      Tools: Python, pandas, matplotlib. Limitations: first-half added time is estimated at about 4.5 min per game; “minute” is the official event minute. This is OC.

    2. Lots of equalising goals just before the hydration break in 2nd half it looks like. Interesting

    3. LookForGoodComment on

      I’d love to see an interpretation of *why* that pattern shows up. Interesting, cheers!

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