Weniger als die Hälfte der Albertaner sagen, dass sie in einer neuen unabhängigen Provinz bleiben würden: Umfrage
https://nationalpost.com/news/alberta-quebec-separatism-canada-poll
Weniger als die Hälfte der Albertaner sagen, dass sie in einer neuen unabhängigen Provinz bleiben würden: Umfrage
https://nationalpost.com/news/alberta-quebec-separatism-canada-poll
4 Kommentare
From the article:
>According to the survey conducted between May 29 and June 1, 39 per cent of respondents said they would “continue to live in my new independent country” in the case of separation, while 38 per cent said they would move elsewhere in Canada. Nineteen per cent said they weren’t sure, and the remaining two per cent said they would move to another country altogether.
>The proportion of those of who would remain is much larger in Quebec, where 56 per cent of respondents said they would stay in their “new independent country,” with just 24 per cent saying they would move elsewhere in Canada.
[…]
>Among respondents polled outside of Alberta and Quebec, 10 per cent of respondents said they would move to an independent country of Alberta should the province separate from Canada, while just one per cent said they’d move to an independent Quebec.
Based on the above (n=1532, moe +-2.5%):
* 39% of Albertans would leave for elsewhere in Canada after secession, while 38% would stay, with the rest undecided (and 2% leaving for another country entirely). Let’s say 40% each.
* Alberta’s population is 4 million, so 1.6 million would leave.
* 10% of Canadians outside Alberta or Quebec would move to an independent Alberta. That’s 4 million Canadians moving there, versus 1.6 million leaving Alberta.
* Conclusion: An independent Alberta’s population would increase by 60% (2.4 million people).
If it were even possible to move forward with a meaniningful vote and action, it would not be the territory that is now AB and would not have tax and resource base to sustain itself. It is far less realistic than the QC efforts of 1995 with citizens more in the dark and deluded to the reality of almost certain failure as well as fallout of improbable ’success‘.
Can polls stop pretending Alberta would be independent and just ask if they’re willing to join the US as minor outlying territory with no congressional representation? Also let’s be clear they would get American Medicare (part A hospital insurance for seniors) and everyone else gets soul crushing $1400+/month USD insurance premiums.
It seems like division and uncertainty is the entire point of this foreign operation. I wish we would focus on that, and not treat separation as a rational or legitimate outcome.