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    Diskussionsthread: Stichwahlen in Texas am 26. Mai 2026


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    Discussion Thread: Texas Runoff Elections on May 26, 2026
    byu/PoliticsModeratorBot inpolitics

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    10 Kommentare

    1. RainbowConnickJr on

      It’s tough. Like, if Democrats actually have a non-zero chance to win statewide, this will prove it: this election cycle is wildly anti-Republican, Talarico was grown in a lab to have appeal to avowed independents, and Paxton is one of the most loathsome candidates to anyone who isn’t a full-on cultist possible. If Dem’s can’t win beat Paxton, they should give up on being able to win statewide in Texas, period.

      All that is to say that Paxton winning would be a benefit to Talarico, but the risk/reward is so grim on that. Is Paxton the best chance for Dems? Yes. But if it turns out that he is the “best chance” at something that it turns out we had a zero percent chance of pulling off, we’re winding up with one of the worst people in politics today in the Senate.

    2. DawgNinja on

      I think Talarico is going to have no trouble getting to 46-47%, it’s the final mile here that’s going to be troublesome, and I would still project this as Lean R at best.

      If it happens at all, I suspect it’ll be via an unpopular manner considering that „when we vote, we win“ is still a popular mantra for Dems, and it’ll be simply be because voter turnout dropped a ton in the rurals because we saw that heavy turnout in Texas is going to be very conservative friendly.

    4. rainshowers_5_peace on

      What are the odds of either of these men running a write in campaign if they lose?

    5. ScotTheDuck on

      It’s gonna be something that’s going to develop as the campaign does, but if Paxton is the nominee, that can create a lot of ripple effects for a lot of other Senate races. Paxton isn’t a good fundraiser, and the RNC, NRSC, and various aligned Super PACs are going to have to fill the void that’s possibly going to be created by that. That’s possibly a nine figure ask over the course of a campaign.

      So if you’re Michael Watley, who’s currently stuck in an already losing race against Roy Cooper, you suddenly might find yourself without the help from the party you would’ve expected six months ago. Ditto Sullivan, Husted, and whoever comes out of that primary in Iowa, who are all facing either well-funded, historically overperformant Democratic opponents, or have other ballot headwinds working against them.

      If you combine that potential effect on other Senate races with Paxton’s own personal foibles and just poor record as a candidate, he’s easily looking to be the worst major party nominee since Roy Moore, and the worst nominee in a regularly scheduled election since either Todd Akin or Richard Murdock.

    6. Oscar_322418 on

      I want to believe that Talarico has a shot..but it’s Texas, this is the same state that has repeatedly voted for POS like Cruz and Abbott.

      Hoping for a different outcome this time around but I wouldn’t count on it. Alaska seems much more realistic.

    7. Goldleader-23 on

      Really hoping Talarico can pull off the win. Crockett has proven how toxic and corrupt she is since her loss.

    8. Nerd_199 on

      Election Day turnout in Texas started off horribly, but has picked up over the day

      Here’s Montgomery, where turnout will be like 95% in the R primary

      First hour was just 29% of March 3’s first hour, but 10-11 was >50%

      Has a lot of catching up to do still though

      https://x.com/i/status/2059314007744422126

    9. Nerd_199 on

      CALIFORNIA EARLY VOTING TURNOUT
      (Data from @Political_Data)

      As of last night, volume ahead of 2022, and is noticeably more Republican. With one week left until the primary, the hypothesis of „Democrats holding onto their ballots until the very end“ will be tested.

      https://x.com/i/status/2059214005114142850

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