Putin steckt in Schwierigkeiten, als der Krieg endlich nach Moskau kommt

It is fascinating that russia is repeating the collapse of Soviet Union in a very similar sequence of facts. The Soviet Union essentially bloated its economy and invaded Afghanistan at the same time. With resources stretched and no real economy beyond oil and natural resources, soon the situation in Soviet Union spun out of control.

Now, not entirely because of Ukraine, but highly related to that, the economy of russia, as well as its social fabric is spinning out of control. This time is different though, as Russia’s oil infrastructure is constantly hit, domestic war casualties are infinitely higher, and the global economy is growing at rates close to zero. Whatever is coming next to Russia will not pleasant for its citizen, and even less pleasant for its rulers.

It is unlikely that even oil at 200 USD can save it.