Arbeitnehmer, die stärker KI ausgesetzt waren, haben NIEDRIGERE Arbeitslosenquoten als Arbeitnehmer, die KEINER KI ausgesetzt waren.

    Dieser Trend hat sich trotz COVID-19 und trotz der Einführung von ChatGPT fortgesetzt.

    Die Post-ChatGPT-Differenz-in-Differenzen liegen nahezu bei Null (+0,0020).

    KI scheint also nicht dazu zu führen, dass Arbeitsplätze unter den am stärksten gefährdeten Personen vernichtet werden?

    Wenn überhaupt, scheinen sie beschäftigungsfähiger zu sein.

    Irgendwelche Ideen warum?

    https://www.anthropic.com/research/labor-market-impacts

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    12 Kommentare

    1. Yangguang_Zhijia on

      If you look at all the economic metrics and all the earning reports outside the AI build out. It’s almost as if AI is having no impact on the American economy.

    2. BohemianGecko on

      Well yeah, AI doesn’t run itself, you need staff that actually knows how to work it to get the most benefit of it. As great as AI is getting, it still relies on humans giving it quality prompts to not end up producing AI slop. So people who know how to prompt and exactly where to position AI in a task will work better and faster than those not adopting it. AI doesn’t „kill jobs“ directly, it kills large teams of the same role that now can be done by smaller teams.

    3. Cavalleria-rusticana on

      Companies are probably hiring people to use their fancy new AI; sunk cost fallacy.

      Doesn’t seem that surprising.

    4. Yeah I work at a startup. We use ai for our in house work. Someone would have had to code that but instead we just moved on with our lives.

      But our use of ai doesn’t affect the unemployment numbers at all. Because its not reported, it just is.

    5. because if you’ve used it, you know it doesn’t work on its  own, you need a highly trained and specific inputs to get anything useful for work out of AI.

    6. human_i_suppose on

      Makes sense to me. If you’re working with Ai, you’re probably training your replacement.

    7. >Workers in the most exposed professions are more likely to be older, female, more educated, and higher-paid

      I think this is probably the explanation. Highly educated and experienced workers are now even more productive than before AI.

    8. LordTalesin on

      Wow a research study put out by the very company making the AI tools that will take our jobs.

      What a shock that AI would be painted in a good light.

      In the future, when you are coming, please consider the source and biases of the people who write the things that you read and post because this is not good.

    9. You know what this is similar to what google search was. Google search (not now but before, pretty sure they intentionally made it worse) was pretty decent baseline put some some what related words together and you’ll get a decent answer. A real skill is learning how to ask questions in Google to get better answers and usually if your able to ask those types of questions you probably someone who is more knowledgeable and probably harder to replace in a company.

      The baseline you ask stuff in human wording and get an okay answer most of the time. But if you know what you’re doing you can ask questions in a way to get better answers, such as asking the ai to role play as a professional in that field. Also stuff like using agents to get work done for you. The people who where really good with Google probably also get access at work and grew that skill more, making them more productive. If you’re a sane company you want a more productive employee you don’t lay off the ones that do good work unless things are dire.

    10. The_Frostweaver on

      You are just helping them push their agenda, get on board with using AI or get left behind.

      Very convienient message for a company selling ai.

      Is there a grain of truth there? Probably, but it doesn’t address the larger society wide employment issues caused by ai.

      Truck driving is 3.5 million jobs, uber is another million, those jobs are going to be displaced by self driving vehicles

      Call centers and secretaries are 3 million people each in USA, those will be replaced by ai.

      Wherehouse is 6.5 million and delivery is 0.5 million, those are being replaced too.

      There are 3.5 million retail workers and another million supervisors.

      And there are many other highly impacted jobs.

      And the software companies rolling out ai are themselves firing staff.

      Where are the new jobs?

      In china where wages are already very low they are increasingly using robots to build cars and robots.

      We tax human workers but we don’t tax robots or data centers.

      All of society has been built up around people working.

      We saw the impact of offshoring jobs, this will be the same but worse.

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