correct me if I am wrong, but this is registrations as opposed to sales, which happens generally a while after the order. When the data comes in for the 3-6 months following the start of the current oil crisis, it will probably show petrol is completely crushed.
darkmacgf on
Interesting to see Plugin Hybrids get a fast start and then die out fairly quickly. People realizing they’re the worst of both worlds in a few ways.
Halbaras on
Something that doesn’t seem to be discussed much in the EV transition is what will happen to petrol stations. They aren’t cheap businesses to run, and they tend to have ultra low margins which are already dependent on the convenience stores attached to them.
Electric vehicles will inevitably hit tipping points where the economics of it begin to fail, especially in rural areas. Petrol stations are designed around a high turnover of people filling up, grabbing snacks and leaving, and can’t easily be retooled into locations simultaneously servicing more vehicles where people can eat or shop for 30 minutes while their car charges.
The transition from ‚hey there’s a lot of EVs on the road these days‘ to ICE drivers suddenly having range anxiety and ‚last petrol station in Welsh town closes‘ headlines will be shorter than people tend to think. The decline will scale with total proportion of EVs on the road (not new sales), and will accelerate as drivers get spooked about difficulties filling up and the richer ones ditch the last generations of ICE cars prematurely. Towards the end of the transition there will be some interesting dynamics – like ICE cars becoming almost worthless second hand (and the most poor buying them and getting stuck in fuel poverty), classic car enthusiasts having to sort out their own fuel distribution, and the difficulties decontaminating closed petrol stations.
dernailer on
Let’s see if there is a correlation with the commerces, boutiques, bar and discoteques losing money in the last 6 years because of car and parkings bans in cities with more then 50000 habitants.
rynwane4 on
whoa, that drop in ICE sales is drastic in the second chart, wild to see the transition happening so fast! 🤯
FissionFire111 on
It’s hard to evaluate this properly when Denmark offer some pretty big incentives for buying EVs. When the government is artificially pushing the market in one direction it’s not really a surprise that the market goes that way.
SteelyLan on
If this is indeed sales and not registrations, you should also state that this is new cars and not just cars.
CaptainMambo on
It is worth noting that the denmark as an INSANE amount of tax on ICE car. I don’t doubt of the eco-conscience of the danish people, but for reference a mid-level sport car has a yearly tax of more than 26.000 euros (yes, EUROS). **Yearly, per year.**
And *a one-time tax when first registered, based on value and emissions. Rates can reach 150% of the vehicle’s value.* (Gemini quote, won’t go further, i just know that it is
This is not „danish people choosing EV“, it’s just „danish people can’t buy ICE car“.
qchisq on
Excel area charts aren’t beautiful
Luvata-8 on
They fixed it!!! The Danes fixed the weather !!!
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[This](https://www.dst.dk/da/Statistik/emner/transport/transportmidler/nyregistrerede-og-brugte-biler) links to the web database, where the original data are stored. („statistikbanken“ –> [BIL53](https://www.statistikbanken.dk/statbank5a/SelectVarVal/Define.asp?Maintable=BIL53&PLanguage=0)). Made with excel.
correct me if I am wrong, but this is registrations as opposed to sales, which happens generally a while after the order. When the data comes in for the 3-6 months following the start of the current oil crisis, it will probably show petrol is completely crushed.
Interesting to see Plugin Hybrids get a fast start and then die out fairly quickly. People realizing they’re the worst of both worlds in a few ways.
Something that doesn’t seem to be discussed much in the EV transition is what will happen to petrol stations. They aren’t cheap businesses to run, and they tend to have ultra low margins which are already dependent on the convenience stores attached to them.
Electric vehicles will inevitably hit tipping points where the economics of it begin to fail, especially in rural areas. Petrol stations are designed around a high turnover of people filling up, grabbing snacks and leaving, and can’t easily be retooled into locations simultaneously servicing more vehicles where people can eat or shop for 30 minutes while their car charges.
The transition from ‚hey there’s a lot of EVs on the road these days‘ to ICE drivers suddenly having range anxiety and ‚last petrol station in Welsh town closes‘ headlines will be shorter than people tend to think. The decline will scale with total proportion of EVs on the road (not new sales), and will accelerate as drivers get spooked about difficulties filling up and the richer ones ditch the last generations of ICE cars prematurely. Towards the end of the transition there will be some interesting dynamics – like ICE cars becoming almost worthless second hand (and the most poor buying them and getting stuck in fuel poverty), classic car enthusiasts having to sort out their own fuel distribution, and the difficulties decontaminating closed petrol stations.
Let’s see if there is a correlation with the commerces, boutiques, bar and discoteques losing money in the last 6 years because of car and parkings bans in cities with more then 50000 habitants.
whoa, that drop in ICE sales is drastic in the second chart, wild to see the transition happening so fast! 🤯
It’s hard to evaluate this properly when Denmark offer some pretty big incentives for buying EVs. When the government is artificially pushing the market in one direction it’s not really a surprise that the market goes that way.
If this is indeed sales and not registrations, you should also state that this is new cars and not just cars.
It is worth noting that the denmark as an INSANE amount of tax on ICE car. I don’t doubt of the eco-conscience of the danish people, but for reference a mid-level sport car has a yearly tax of more than 26.000 euros (yes, EUROS). **Yearly, per year.**
And *a one-time tax when first registered, based on value and emissions. Rates can reach 150% of the vehicle’s value.* (Gemini quote, won’t go further, i just know that it is
This is not „danish people choosing EV“, it’s just „danish people can’t buy ICE car“.
Excel area charts aren’t beautiful
They fixed it!!! The Danes fixed the weather !!!