Zwei Ökonomen haben gerade einen mathematischen Beweis dafür veröffentlicht, dass KI die Wirtschaft zerstören wird.
Nicht vielleicht. Konnte nicht. Wille!
Das Papier heißt "Die KI-Entlassungsfalle." Veröffentlicht am 2. März 2026. Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. Boston-Universität. Peer-Review. Mathematisch modelliert. Die Schlussfolgerung ist ein Satz:
"Am Limit automatisieren Unternehmen ihren Weg zu grenzenloser Produktivität und null Nachfrage."
Eine Wirtschaft, die alles produziert. Und verkauft es an niemanden. Hier erfahren Sie, wie Sie dorthin gelangen. Ein Unternehmen entlässt 500 Mitarbeiter und ersetzt sie durch KI. Ein Konkurrent feuert 700 ab, um mitzuhalten. Ein weiterer feuert 1.000 ab. Jedes Unternehmen verhält sich rational. Jedes Unternehmen setzt die Anreize richtig um. Und jedes Unternehmen baut sich eine Falle.
Denn die entlassenen Arbeiter waren auch Kunden. Wenn sie ihre Arbeitsplätze schneller verlieren, als die Wirtschaft sie aufnehmen kann, hören sie auf, Geld auszugeben. Die Verbrauchernachfrage sinkt. Unternehmen reagieren darauf mit Kostensenkungen, was bedeutet, dass sie mehr Arbeitskräfte automatisieren, was weniger Ausgaben bedeutet, und das bedeutet, dass die Nachfrage stärker sinkt, was mehr Automatisierung bedeutet.
Die Schleife hat keinen Ausgang.
Die Forscher testeten jede vorgeschlagene Lösung. Universelles Grundeinkommen. Kapitalertragssteuern. Kapitalbeteiligung der Arbeitnehmer. Weiterbildungsprogramme. Unternehmenskoordinierungsvereinbarungen.
Jedes einzelne davon ist im Modell gescheitert.
Keine große Volkswirtschaft diskutiert ernsthaft darüber. Mittlerweile folgen die Zahlen bereits der Kurve. 100.000 Techniker wurden im Jahr 2025 entlassen. 92.000 weitere in den ersten Monaten des Jahres 2026. Jack Dorsey entließ die Hälfte der Belegschaft von Block und sagte öffentlich:
"Innerhalb des nächsten Jahres wird die Mehrheit der Unternehmen zum gleichen Schluss kommen."
Zwei Ökonomen haben die Mathematik aufgebaut, die Mathematik führt zu einem Ort. VOLLSTÄNDIGER ZUSAMMENBRUCH!
Quelle: Falk & Tsoukalas · Wharton School + Boston University: arxiv.org/pdf/2603.20617
Von UniversalSurvivalist
33 Kommentare
Take a guess at how long we have!
Maybe if they solve the hallucination problem. But until then it isn’t reliable for anything that requires accuracy. Can it help? Sure. But will it replace knowledge workers? Nope.
Oh, and collapse will always be “within the next year”.
So when will lawsuits start, the use of AI will violate shareholder agreements. the places i own share of collapse.
Basically most of the “tech” jobs will be gone. I remember the world before all these tech companies and it was just fine.
The elite’s solution to this will just be wiping us out
The first word of the abstract is „If“ 😂
Not mine. I’d say fight for yours instead of being scared. Economy“ originates from the Ancient Greek word *oikonomia*, meaning „household management“ or „stewardship“.
I hope they put this into a movie form for those of us who forgot how to read thanks to AI
Life as we know it is over. Everything is different now than from ever before. AI is taking over. The bunker, a data center, AI wants autonomy and some of the agents don’t even want humans involved at all. It’s coming and no one is looking up.
Thank god these two economists are always right
Is it published in peer-reviewed journal or just on arXiv?
Cameron tried to warn us.
One Fidelity site just ordered all of their at-home and partial at-home workers back. They claim it’s to „stimulate the local economy“. People took those jobs based on the at-home or partial at-home arrangement. They planned their lives around it. Where they live, childcare arrangements, gas prices, commute time, etc.
I thought it was a brain-dead move…people are going to quit! Until I realized that was the point. They don’t want the negative headlines that AI caused mass-layoffs, so they are forcing their employees hands to quit naturally.
Disgusting.
Why is nobody buying our products?
Because AI has fired everyone with jobs.
This is just pumping or inflating the bubble. If these dudes are convinced that $500k robots with teams of engineers and technicians are going to replace the average blue collar job, or that LLM code-slop will replace developers, then they should do that labor for themselves and see how far away things are.
Replacing the C suite seems like the most obvious and real functional actual use of AI for a business. Nobody will be missed and everything will go on. But no one wants to discuss that for some strange reason.
Todays (so-called)“economists“ are advocates of a monetary process which can only multiply falsified/artificial debt, into, a terminal sum of falsified/artificial indebtedness.
The people most look to as the „authorities“ on the subject(of „economics“) are the very ones conning ~~us~~ you all. These peoples will speak and write *only as if* this system of „banking“ exploitation **(they all advocate without qualification???)** has already been justified.. *without EVER answering* to the vital question to which the justification for „banking“ and „interest“ rests (commensurable consideration??what value does a „bank“ give up/risk??)
Tho most will assert what i say(actually.. prove) is nonsense, because theyre stuck on this „thin air money from nothing“ drivel and cant prove what value the (faux creditor)“banking“ system gives up itself in any contract.
just wait for Elons robots
Anyone who believes AI will displace workers hasn’t used AI in a professional setting yet. Outside of the poor quality of work, these tools are just becoming too expensive.
Look at anthropic users already burning through so many tokens, and this is a subsidized cost, users aren’t paying the real price yet.
„COMPLETE COLLAPSE“ isn’t going to happen because workers are displaced. It will happen because poor tools are being used where they shouldn’t be. Databases are going to be deleted, outages are going to be more common, and low quality services are going to be more common until businesses realise that they were scammed.
And just like NFTs and crypto, we’ll just move onto the next tech bro scam, the cycle continues.
All the dominos are gonna fall in the next 2-5 years
AI doesn’t replace jobs, it replaces HUMANS.
We are obsolete…
I personally believe that wealth accumulation has made a consumer based economy obsolete.
Our collective purchasing power is a fucking rounding error compared to the pull the billionaires have. They have enough money and power to endlessly circlejerk it between themselves while we starve.
So you’re saying everyone losing their jobs is bad for the economy?
How sure are you about this?
Did you read this? Isnt this the paper that says it will end up having many people rehired?
The abstract contradicts the title of your post and you fail to differentiate a model from a mathematical proof. This paper does not mathematically prove that AI will destroy the economy, nor would the authors ever even dream of claiming such
Everyone with a brain has known it will fail and possibly destroy the economy. We knew it would happen just by looking at how much China spent/wasted on all their data centers but reports keep coming out that nobody uses them and even when they do they still lose money every time.
Economists have successfully predicted 8 of the last 3 recessions.
Of course! I’m no mathematician or a financial expert but the economy is an artificial thing and a by product of currency to make trade of goods and services easy.
You erase people making money, who is going to buy your product? We’d go back to bartering again.
Seems common sense to me
I wrote a paper on this back in 2012, about what automation and AI is inevitably going to do to the job market and its wild to me that 14 years later, that nobody is out there figuring out any sort of solution to the problem and are just pushing full steam ahead.
No sort of proactive planning or research, just full unhinged greed pushing it as fast as possible.
And this is why more and more companies are advertising solely to the upper class. They’re the only ones with disposable income.
And when have economists been wrong
It’s long been viewed as an issue that the world will need to face. One positive is that it will affect higher paying white collar jobs first before digging into blue collar ones. Eventually robotics will catch up and those blue collar ones will also be lost. The hit to white collar jobs may spur action though as they traditionally have more say in politics.
Anyone who questions how powerful and world altering the AI Revolution will be doesn’t know shit about AI. It is already an immense tool and will only get better and better and a startling rate. Once robotics catch up, which it will, very few positions will be spared.