
Eine Viertelmillion Menschen könnten bis Mitte 2027 ihren Arbeitsplatz verlieren, da Großbritannien „mit einer Rezession flirtet“, heißt es in einer Analyse
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/apr/20/250000-could-lose-job-2027-uk-recession-analysis-economy-iran-war
Von Bounty_drillah
22 Kommentare
The UK is not flirting with recession, Trump is dragging the world down with him.
Bloody hell man. Such rhe headline to read on a Monday morning
Why always us? The US and a few other countries are set for growth
We are in a full on recession in construction, it’s fully fucked, no two ways about it.
Hanh on, didn’t we grow by 0.5% in February and climb back up to 5th strongest economy?
Both can’t be true!
The last person employed in the UK is going to have one hell of a tax bill to support everyone else.
Considering we never really recovered from the ’08 crash and economic performance has consistently underperformed since then, I would say we have been on the edge of recession the entire time. Wages and employment have failed to return to pre-2008 levels, inflation has been higher, trade has been lower, and that is before Brexit. The reality is we are not economically prepared to weather a single global or domestic financial problem. This is not due to Trump, even though the current shocks are. It is entirely down to every government since Thatcher doing their damnedest to erode every industry and put every egg in one basket of London based financial services.
Sure Trump and Iran lit the paper but the fire was already build and has been for a long time.
We should have allowed a recession post Covid over all the support. We would be stronger now for it.
Recessions are not bad things. Like forest fires they serve a purpose.
Chronic under funding of public services, mass layoffs across what was a world leading university sector, lack of investment in a greener economy, Brexit, flirting constantly with AI. Successive governments are obsessed with cosplaying Thatcher to win favour with extremists rather than do anything significant to tackle the costly price of inequality and climate catastrophe.
Lowering of inflation is inherently tied to unemployment
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillips_curve
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NAIRU
Anecdotally, the government have pulled the purse strings on a number of nuclear related projects which has caused a couple of main nuclear companies (mostly public owned) to initiate redundancies due to financial pressure. It will knock on into the private sector as contracts get pulled or not renewed with the big contracting firms.
Amazing how many headlines contain the words „could“ or „might“. Just click bait to feed the readership with what they want to hear.
Not quite the same. „we predict it’ll get worse like we predicted it’d get worse when GDP grew by 0.5 and we said it’d stagnate“.
It’s wild how disconnected the official talk of ‚flirting‘ with recession is from what people are seeing on the ground. The construction commenter is right, entire sectors are already in deep trouble. This feels like a global problem being amplified by poor domestic policy. We’re way past flirting; this is a full-blown economic crisis for a lot of people.
Quite a statement to make after the country had 0.6% GDP growth in the first two months of the year and we passed India to become the 5th larceny economy in the world and are on track to be the largest in Europe in 15-20 years
Trumps war will hit us hard, and global factors are having an effect, but the underlying economy is showing signs of improvement seems to be the best overall take
Genuine question for anyone who understands this stuff; is this not a good reason to cut interest rates à la 2008 and 2020, in order to boost spending power, than to put them back up and throttle it further?
It’s not like cheap borrowing is causing inflation – once again it’s war and greed. You could put interest rates up to 20% and we still have to buy food and petrol.
Maybe that’s just a naive and hopeful view of it, though!
Was amazing the last budget and you can really simplify it down to this.
Do you work hard and have worked hard to get a decent position (you are a net contribute in taxes too) in life where your salary is now acceptable?
Did you have to spend tens of thousands of pounds in education to even get a job in your field too whilst working a part time job to supplement yourself as you qualified for no help at all (as you where responsible earlier in life and didn’t stick your di*k into everything that moved?
Right, fuck you, we are coming for more tax, salary sacrifice and we are going to drag the shit out of you with fiscal drag and we will come back for more next year.
The other side:
Do you do contribute little or nothing to society?
Have you never tried to be responsible for any decision you make in your life?
Do you just don’t want to work and have decided that your “self diagnosed ailments” prevent you from doing anything whatsoever?
Do you want to have as many kids as you want with the government and tax payer fitting the bill?
We have good news for you, we are increasing your payments and next year, because some arseholes will protest they don’t get enough money, that money will go up again.
There IS a small minority of people who do need help as clearly can’t work, but the amount of people in North East who’s families have generationally took the piss out of the system is absolutely rife and now, they get paid more.
Fuck this country man.
We never left recession in any meaningful way since the last one.
Can we stop with these stupid fear mongering posts. This sub is already a depressing pool of soreness as it is, without the need for even more fear and lies.
A lot of our customers have made redundancies due to the extra cost bought on by the NI changes, this has a knock on effect as it flows some through the smaller businesses.
Another one…ffs I’m still recovering from the last two
Quarter mill is a lowball with the level of automation coming in imo. I see entire job roles being wiped out constantly in my field of film production, and then when I’m filming on locations it’s the same story all up and down the country. I was at one of the largest logistics facilities in the UK the other week, under 2 years ago a site that size employed over 1000 people, today they’re running the site on under 150 people, the rest of the work is done by automated machines. Pretty much any business that can afford the upfront cost is going to do the same and we’re only just getting started. Energy sector is doing well though, I’d probably go into that if I could have a do-over.