84 % der Bundeseinnahmen stammen aus der Besteuerung menschlicher Arbeit. Da KI diese Arbeit ersetzt, bricht die Einnahmebasis zusammen. Niemand scheint über die Sanitäranlagen zu reden.
Ich habe einen Rahmen namens „Vier Säulen“ entworfen, der die Steuerbemessungsgrundlage umdreht: Steuerautomatisierung statt Arbeit, Abschaffung der Einkommenssteuer, Garantie für jeden Bürger von 25.000 US-Dollar pro Jahr, Ersetzung der Sozialversicherung durch persönliche Anlagekonten, die bei der Geburt angelegt werden.
Ich habe die komplette Bundesbilanz erstellt, Monte-Carlo-Simulationen durchgeführt und 17 reale Personen in 6 Rezessionsszenarien einem Stresstest unterzogen. Die Automatisierungssteuer soll mit dem Wachstum der KI steigen – mehr Verdrängung bedeutet mehr Einnahmen und mehr Wohlstand.
Alles ist Open Source: fourpillarsproject.org
Ich suche nach Kritik, nicht nach Lob. Was geht kaputt?
What economic system actually works when AI does most jobs? I built one and published the full math.
byu/Temporary_Guava2486 inFuturology
12 Kommentare
interesting but automation tax sounds like it would just make companies move operations offshore where they can avoid it
If AI is that clever then all we need to do is ask AI to solve the issue
I like the idea but the page and your description is lacking details or explanation of how this actually works.
You should state right from beginning that current taxation is from human labor, and as AI automation takes away the value creation of human labor, tax should be coming from companies that use AI (automation) to create value.
Essentially the companies will be footing the bill because they are able to with the AI „labor“ going forward.
So the majority of people live off $25k/year which is less than minimum wage? Make that make sense.
Money is a means of valuation for goods and services. It is just for measurement and is not the end goal. If AI and Robotics produce and serve everything end to end then money looses its meaning and becomes obsolete. If you receive for free everything meals, shelter, services, education and so on and so on then why do you put ‘money’ into the calculation?
AI needs to be treated as a public resource. It’s trained on the public domain and human labor, the profits from virtual workers should be distributed to the people, and the things it produces should be considered public domain (the latter is already more or less true under US law).
Navigating the transition to a post labor society is difficult because it fundamentally breaks the rules of a labor based system. If we try to shoehorn this into capitalist or libertarian frameworks we end up with like 7 people with armies of robots grinding the poors up for fuel, which is obviously stupid. The idea that being able to produce everything better and cheaper will impoverish the population is fundamentally dumb.
The thing that oligarchs in the modern era seem to miss, that the robber barons from a century ago maybe understood better, is that ownership is a social contract. You only own something if everyone else agrees, if the police will come and protect it for you. You can’t own something entirely against the will of society unless you have the ability to defend it yourself.
How about taxing natural resource usage, including land and pollution? All the automation in the world isn’t useful without inputs. Still leaves the cross-border tax competition problem, of course.
Unless you expect prices to collapse, 25K is pretty miserable and not even livable in many (most?) parts of the country.
In a world of free abundant goods, why would anything be bought or sold at all
When AI does most work some form of universal support might be needed. History shows we adapt but it will be messy.
How’s about looking past this death cult that is late stage capitalism?
Automation tax seems like it would be hard to quantify and develop over the years (Automation would be one value in year 0, but the same automation would be a different value at year 20).
To me you’d be better off starting with a flat revenue tax and reduce the tax burden based on how much you pay your employees, providing some benefit to employing people but still collecting tax for automation.