Iran verhängt erneut Beschränkungen für die Straße von Hormus und wirft den USA vor, gegen die Vereinbarung zur Wiedereröffnung der Straße verstoßen zu haben

Market manipulation from both sides?

My prediction is this – whether it’s strategic or not is debatable – maybe a kind of “next move” style chess

– the US isn’t trustworthy – their word isn’t durable and their interests are always predictable 100% selfish based on the latest conditions.
– Iran will no longer negotiate with the US.
– the US will lose interest and pretend that it’s not their problem because “whatever, we blew them away and the US MAGA doesn’t track nuance or reality in any consistent respect, so we can just say ‘we won’ and they’ll believe us. Plus if we walk away, it’s only painful for us, it’s Existential for everyone else. Let them deal with it.”
– this will leave an opening for Europe and Asia to step in to reduce tensions and reopen the strait.
– this will hit a roadblock around sanctions and the financial system, but the US will capitulate on a Friday so that it doesn’t drive a domestic news cycle.
– Fin