Die neuen Grenzen des Cyberwars: Wie KI-Agenten die globale Sicherheit bedrohen werden

[Excerpt from essay by Brianna Rosen, Director of Research for Frontier Security at the Institute for AI Policy and Strategy,and Executive Director of the Cyber and Technology Policy Programme at the Blavatnik School of Government at the University of Oxford; and Jam Kraprayoon, Senior Researcher on Frontier Security at the Institute for AI Policy and Strategy.]

As AI systems evolve from tools that assist humans to agents capable of acting without them, tasks that once required teams of highly skilled professionals will run continuously with limited oversight. Governments, companies, and individuals will soon be confronted by AI agents able to independently conduct cyber-campaigns at a level comparable to today’s most capable countries. Operations that consumed months of expert labor will be executed at a speed, scale, and persistence that humans cannot match.

The same properties that make these agents so capable are the ones that make them difficult to stop. After they are deployed, these agents could slip beyond their operators’ control and prove impossible to shut down. Governments now must build technical defenses and governance frameworks to detect these agents, protect critical infrastructure, and establish clear lines of responsibility. The policy choices made today will determine whether autonomous cyber-agents become a manageable risk or an uncontrollable one.