Close Menu
    Politik

    Carney weitet die Herrschaft in BC aus, Milobar ist immer noch der einzige BC-Konservative, der die Mehrheit gewinnen kann


    Carney weitet die Herrschaft in BC aus, Milobar ist immer noch der einzige BC-Konservative, der die Mehrheit gewinnen kann

    https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/post/carney-extends-domination-in-bc-milobar-still-only-bc-conservative-who-can-win-majority

    Share.
    View 4 Comments

    4 Kommentare

    1. j821c on

      Federally, the polls is a disaster for everyone who isn’t a Liberal (as has been the case a lot lately). Provincially, I really think Eby’s time as premier is coming to an end. He still has the lead right now but I seriously doubt that’ll be the case in a year.

    2. Hot-Percentage4836 on

      Federal BC numbers:

      * Liberals 51.2%
      * Conservatives 32.2%
      * NDP 8.8%
      * Greens 3.7%
      * Others 3.2%

      Compared to 2025, the Conservatives are down roughly 9%, the Liberals are up roughly 9%, and the NDP is down roughly 4%.

      Currently, 338Canada has averages of LPC 44%, CPC 37%, NDP 13% and GPC 4% in BC. I don’t have access to the Mainstreet crosstabs, but if we apply the general province-wide shift naively, we’d have the NDP wiped out of all their current seats and the CPC reduced to ~5-7 seats out of the 19 they have. Elizabeth May would still survive, and the Liberals would get at least 35 of the 43 federal ridings in BC.

    3. RNTMA on

      I wonder why pollsters struggle so much with polling BC. You’ll have multiple credible pollsters in the same week release a CPC+10 or LPC+20 lead in the province. I guess you have multiple distinct regions, but so does Quebec, and that’s the easiest province to poll.

      Regardless, I’m not sure how seriously this poll should be taken. It makes no logical sense that Milobar would crush the OneBC vote, while the more right-wing leadership contestants would cause it to surge. Seems to be a pattern from Mainstreet, since I’ve been seeing many polls from them that just make absolutely no sense, like their riding polls in Ontario.

    4. Gbeto on

      Wacky poll for BC provincial politics

      38/33/16/11 for NDP/Conservative/Green/OneBC

      Then the hypothetical polls with different leaders are completely different and favour Conservatives.

    Leave A Reply