Es ist an der Zeit, den Wahnvorstellungen der Welt über die Energiekrise im Iran ein Ende zu setzen
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/its-time-end-worlds-delusions-over-iran-energy-crisis-2026-04-07/
Es ist an der Zeit, den Wahnvorstellungen der Welt über die Energiekrise im Iran ein Ende zu setzen
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/its-time-end-worlds-delusions-over-iran-energy-crisis-2026-04-07/
4 Kommentare
TLDR: tough times ahead for the world economy, and it seems unavoidable.
[IMF also confirms](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outlook-april-2026) the point of view in this article as of a statement on the future of the world economy that was released today.
The -best- quote from this article:
>*If there is an image that encapsulates the lunacy of the current situation, it’s the president of the United States standing next to a mythical children’s character related to a religious celebration of eternal salvation while threatening to destroy another country.*
Reuters has published a well written piece here.
Submission statement:
The author, a Reuters commodities & energy columnist/editor, argues that the world at large, including leaders, has not shown signs it is apprehending the scale of the incoming energy crisis. The Strait of Hormuz, through which vessels carrying oil that used to satisfy more than 10% of the world’s daily demand, is closed, with little hope of it re-opening any time soon. But even if it opens now, the energy crisis is already locked in. The main effects of the crisis will likely start in May as Asian markets begin to struggle to source crude oil. After that, the higher inflation, lower global trade, job losses and eventually social arrest are likely to emerge in the second half of the year.
What is the downside of the IRG falling? Not a great deal imo.
Yet people oppose this change which would remove most of the risk of further escalation between countries in the middle east simply becuase they don’t like the US and/or Trump.
I think the key point isn’t just whether the strait reopens, but that the system has already priced in instability.
Even if flows resume, insurance costs, shipping risks, and hedging behavior don’t just reset overnight.
That’s why the crisis can be “locked in” before the physical supply is fully disrupted.