Tasha Kheiriddin: Warum der Sieg der Liberalen Terrebonne mehr konservative Abgeordnete zur Flucht drängen könnte

There’s so much vague talk around defections, I wasn’t the article to get into the specifics of each potential MPs that could leave the CPC.

Its interesting that there’s talk of people leaving the CPC caucus to sit as independents. I’ve been surprised that hasn’t happened more. It seems like a more palatable option for people that may not support Pierre, but don’t want to fully burn the party bridge.

I think the 15% drop in CPC support in Terrebonne was far more telling than the Liberal win. That seat had 1 vote separating the PQ and Liberal candidates in 2025 so they held the by-election to try again. But in the first election, the CPC candidate got about 18% of the vote and the same candidate got only 3% this time.

The PQ candidate and Liberal candidate were still very close 46.8% to 48.4% but now there is a 17% drop in overall turnout. It’s normal that by-elections get fewer people out to vote than a general election. The Liberal candidate got about 1000 less votes and the PQ candidate lost about 1600 votes but CPC candidate went from almost 11 000 votes to about 1500 votes. Those that typically find the CPC appealing stayed home more than any other party supporter by far.