Der Iran hat endlich die Grenzen von Trumps Macht offengelegt
https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/middle-east/trump-iran-us-war-pause-ceasefire-strait-of-hormuz-b2944293.html
Der Iran hat endlich die Grenzen von Trumps Macht offengelegt
https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/middle-east/trump-iran-us-war-pause-ceasefire-strait-of-hormuz-b2944293.html
9 Kommentare
„Quagmire“? Its been 23 days so far. Nice try bruh
I’m tired of these opinion articles, we’re literally only 3 weeks into this whole thing
Yup, ask khameini he know better
Not really about Trump’s power, it has however exposed something about American interception technology and its limits.
When Russia got stonewalled in Ukraine early, it was popular to say this was exposing them as a paper tiger. I think time has shown that to be a bit of an exaggeration with some truth behind it.
As America becomes embroiled in Iran, I think we see a lot of similar takeaways. It’s not that Russia / US are *soo* weak, it’s that a lot of people have forgotten how difficult it is to physically conquer a country with ground troops. The ability to walk over Afghanistan and Iraq is not the same league as Ukraine and Iran. Just being a global power doesn’t mean you can waltz right through a real military.
There also is the cost mismatch of what we throw at them vs what they throw at us. They can bleed us, just like Ukraine is bleeding Russia.
The thing these “analysts” continue to forget is Trump is not like previous presidents.
They felt the pressure on continuing on the path decided in order to look strong. Trump feels no such pressure, and hence the TACOs. Others would continue to carry on the difficult path, just to give a message of clarity of thought and conviction. Here, all of that is nonsense woke stuff. His base does not care for all that. And so on.
But these analysts continue to analyze him with their older frameworks, which frankly don’t work anymore.
E.g. its a quagmire only if we assume (a) A US president would continue to hold regime change as an objective, since he announced this it as such in the first few days (b) he would continue to be in the country, no matter how long, to carry out this objective
Trump doesn’t feel this – he can change the objective in the next hour, and can exit tonight. No one really knows, and his MAGA base and rest of republican party doesn’t care.
Trump’s power was always dependent on nobody ever standing up to him. It has been eye opening how many spineless people and institutions there are in the US.
Trump gained massive power because of backing inside GOP and highly influential political lobbies from Israel and GCC, both loved his hardline stance against Iran and believed Iran would be crushed, albeit via a limited form of warfare.
This fuelled Trump’s megalomania and thus, when it went wrong, Trump started to search for someone to blame. He blamed Europe, he alienated even the GCC backers by not consulting them. The only people staying loyal to Trump’s megalomania are GOP/MAGA and Israel. And of course, Trump’s incompetence and his megalomania mean things will go worse.
Remember when Trump said he „needed“ Greenland? Or when he said he would be running Venezuela’s oil industry?
This article gets at least one glaring thing wrong: air strikes are not „paused“. He only paused attacks against the power grid. Other strikes, including leadership assassinations, are proceeding non-stop. The only Iranian leaders who are probably safe are the people negotiating with Trump.