Exklusive Schockumfrage sagt voraus, dass Labour bei den Kommunalwahlen in Birmingham ein Scheitern erleiden wird
https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/news/midlands-news/exclusive-shock-poll-predicts-local-33565940.amp
Von JackStrawWitchita
Exklusive Schockumfrage sagt voraus, dass Labour bei den Kommunalwahlen in Birmingham ein Scheitern erleiden wird
https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/news/midlands-news/exclusive-shock-poll-predicts-local-33565940.amp
Von JackStrawWitchita
20 Kommentare
Not a shock.
Birmingham has a large Muslim population and labour were seen as too friendly to Israel over the Gaza war.
I’ve been expecting labour to be wiped out in Birmingham
It’s hardly a “shock poll” lol, anyone paying attention could predict that
Shock? Shock to who? Someone who’s been living under a rock?
People are pointing out the Muslim vote but there’s a dynamic here not much discussed. Muslims skew younger than the national average (average age of a Muslim is 27 versus 41 nationally).
Actually what you see on the Left is older people, Muslim or otherwise, sticking with Labour whereas younger people of all communities moving to the Greens. So Muslims are more Green than the national average because of the youth factor.
Interestingly this is not the case to the Right of politics. Older voters have largely embraced Reform and make up the backbone of their support, far from this claim we often hear that young men are being radicalised.
All a party has to do is promise to clean up the bins and pay what is due. Pretty much guarantees a victory.
Who’s shocked? They barely won last time, and the Muslim vote has left them, as have the working class whites
If I lived in one of the most bankrupt councils area
I’d be voting for labour
Why? if I’m labour running the country and I have a bankrupt council with no labour politicians in there, only opposing parties
I’d say fuck em and let them rot in their own rubbish
They would drop to the bottom of the priority list
But we were being so friendly to Trump and working on winning over Reform voters!
Who knew that taking your base for granted and slavishly chasing votes from people who hate you isn’t sound strategy and just leaves your base very much up for grabs by parties with policy that they actually like
The obviously deserve to, but the council that takes control afterwards is going to be extremely dysfunctional. Eventually Birmingham will probably be controlled by pro-Gaza independents (aka Yakoob and his followers). Won’t be this time but the demographic change essentially makes it inevitable.
one wonders how long the bollard in human form will be „leader“ after the local election results are in
Wait till you see the absolute destruction of the Labour Party in May
Wales, Scotland and local elections
They are going to finish 3rd or 4th in all of them
Labour has never lost in Wales
They will be 4th this time
Remember that your voting choice has consequences. I hope you can live with that and not cry afterwards.
Interestingly the rise of the green party will probably help identify Muslim voting areas
lol sorry Reform.
To be fair they’ve change their name so many times.
An AI prediction model that’s 90% accurate, and can increase sales by 60%, and no prior polling experience. Birmingham is going to be very bad for labour but I’d take the exact details with a big pinch of salt.
Absolutely deserved.
They treat us like fools- promising to fix issues after the election that they are responsible for. When you reach out to labour councillors, they’re dismissive and can be sarcastic.
And they have totally departed from their values. Their antics with the unions here have been shameful.
Well deserved after bankrupting themselves, not sorting out the bin strikes on top of everything else
Sectarian politics is here indeed no doubt. Dosnt look good for the future. Said to say
This doesn’t shock me at all.
Why would it be a shock that a poll predicts a local election wipe-out in Birmingham for Labour? Opinion polls for the U.K. as a whole indicate a collapse in the Labour vote share now when compared to the low 33% national vote share the party secured in the 2024 General Election.
Given the Labour government has all to often abandoned so many Labour values and policies, why should it be any surprise that it’s vote share collapses, and risks a wipeout in a normally very Labour city such as Birmingham??