Texas-Migrantenbusse steigerten den Stimmenanteil von Donald Trump in den Zielstädten. Untersuchungen zeigen, dass die Ankunft von Migrantenbussen die Ängste der Wähler vor Kriminalität und Einwanderung verstärkte, Wechselwähler dazu drängte, sich für die Republikaner zu entscheiden, und die Wahlbeteiligung unter konservativen Wählern stieg.
Texas migrant buses boosted Donald Trump’s vote share in targeted cities
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A recent [study](https://sociologicalscience.com/articles-v13-11-273/) published in Sociological Science reveals that a Texas program transporting migrants to cities led by Democratic mayors boosted presidential support for Donald Trump in those specific destinations during the 2024 election. The research shows that the arrival of migrant buses amplified voters’ fears about crime and immigration, pushing swing voters toward the Republican ticket and driving higher turnout among conservative voters.
Between 2022 and 2024, Texas Governor Greg Abbott initiated a policy to transport more than 100,000 recently arrived immigrants from the southern border to six specific cities. These destination cities included Chicago, Denver, Los Angeles, New York, Philadelphia, and Washington, D.C.
Each of these urban centers had previously enacted sanctuary ordinances. Sanctuary policies generally protect undocumented immigrants by limiting how much local law enforcement cooperates with federal immigration authorities. By sending buses to these locations, Texas officials created a highly visible migration event far from the actual border.
Sociologists and political researchers have studied how communities respond to sudden changes in their populations for decades. A central idea in this field is the concept of minority threat. This theory suggests that when a majority group perceives a rapid increase in a minority population, the majority group often responds with exclusionary attitudes and voting patterns.
I don’t think a research was needed to know that fear mongering would get more people out to vote in fear of what „might“ come. Pretty standard tactic used by our government since, well, it was founded.
That was human trafficking. The republican party participated in human trafficking. Well they still do now, too
This party just heightened my fears by dropping my fears off on the bus. I know who I’m voting for!
Seriously, why are right wing wired brains that flip’n backwards?
I’m always amazed the affect it has on certain people when those buses come out every 2-4 years around an election cycle.
So few people vote in American elections that the campaigns and political actions focused on getting their supported to actually show up at the poles is more beneficial than any pursuasion of opposition voters. It’s far easier to get people to go vote than to persuade people to change their mind. And fence sitters already have their mind made up per neurological studies, they just haven’t justified the decision for themselves yet.
That’s how intelligent Americans are. A Republican engages in human trafficking and it makes people think they are the good guys
Trump raped those girls on Trumpstein Island.
Amazing they are still trying to figure out how it all went so wrong for them.
Yes we are aware that Trump voters are racist idiots.
In an election that saw increased turnout for Trump across the board, this study attempts to claim that the increase in Trump support in a handful of cities is *solely attributable* to migrant busing.
The scale of the supposed “treatment” is extremely small; Roughly 100,000 migrants were transported to six cities over the course of two years. Yet the study treats entire counties as “treated” if a bus arrived *anywhere* within that county. Los Angeles County alone has a population of roughly 10 million (across **88 cities**). Even if every single migrant were sent to that county, it would barely move the demographic needle. In reality, the number of migrants sent there represents well under 0.1% of the population. The study nevertheless assumes that anyone living in the county was meaningfully exposed to the busing program. If you lived in Cerritos and a bus arrived in Long Beach (the two cities farthest apart), you would have been treated as being affected the same.
More importantly, the analysis ignores virtually *every other factor* that plausibly influenced voting behavior in 2024: inflation, cost of living pressures, the Gaza conflict, crime debates in major cities, policing controversies, local mayoral politics, housing crises, and the broader fragmentation of the Democratic coalition during the Harris controversy.
The paper also claims the effect operates through “media narratives of an immigrant crisis,” yet it does not measure media exposure, media coverage, or campaign messaging in any way. The central mechanism the authors propose is therefore entirely speculative.
At best, the study identifies a correlation in a very small set of counties while attributing causation to a factor that is tiny relative to the population and not directly measured in the data.
This is the same reason they drum up fictitious migrant caravans around every election too. It’s gross.
Cities not normally flooded with migrants experience a shift in opinion once they have experienced that.
It should be a good reminder that people’s politics even centrists and democrats don’t want open boarders.
Begging for clear reporting on what is literally just human trafficking.
Transporting undocumented immigrants across state lines is the “crime” they are still trying to deport Abrego Garcia for. But the GOP politicians regularly fill buses and airplanes with them to ship them to blue states as a political stunt.
Arrest the GOP.
American voter logic:
I’m fearful of all the migrants being bussed to my city, so I’m going to vote for the ones bussing them in.
Make it make sense.
It is extremely, extremely *frustrating* how absolutely ridiculous and willfully ignorant people are.
There is no more republican party anymore. Gutless people turned it into the ReTrumplican Party.
Typical reaction from Stupid Trump voters. Knee jerk reaction without the use of their birdbrains.
Great, so we can add ‚human trafficking‘ to the list of GOP tactics to win elections….
It seems like the destination cities were usually very Blue cities in Blue states. I don’t think any of them flipped to Trump in the 2024 cycle.
„I’m tired of all these immigrants! Let’s elect the guy who sent them here!“
“Science proves conservative voters easily manipulated by cruel stunts”
So that was voter tampering not just human trafficking, interesting.
Different cultures, different languages, different behaviors, I can see why. The ways and people your raised around you determine as normal so different people different ways and cultures could come of as weird. Understandable
It was a genius move for sure.