338 Sonntags-Update: Großer Winteraufschwung für die Liberalen
https://www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday-update-major-winter-surge
338 Sonntags-Update: Großer Winteraufschwung für die Liberalen
https://www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday-update-major-winter-surge
7 Kommentare
Disclaimer: Trudeau had super high approval ratings in 2016.
Highlight from the article:
>government approval has climbed back up after a mid-autumn dip, even surpassing last summer’s post-election honeymoon for the Liberals. According to Léger, 61% of Canadians approve of the Mark Carney government, compared to 31% who disapprove.
For reference, it was only 1.5 years ago that the approval rating was 26%. I remember people in here claiming Carney would only lower the Liberals’ numbers when he announced his leadership bid. A lot has changed.
If multiple pollsters are all showing the same trend at the same time, it probably means voters are responding to something specific, whether that’s economic management, stability, or just fatigue with constant political drama.
The other big takeaway is how broad the support looks geographically. When you start seeing strong numbers in Ontario, Quebec, and BC at the same time, that’s when majority governments become possible.
Obviously polls aren’t votes and things can change quickly. But if this trend holds, it suggests Canadians are rewarding stability and competence right now rather than looking to roll the dice on a big shift and I’m here for it!
As someone who loves analyzing polls, I do wonder what happens in ethnic minority led ridings where extortion crimes and foreign interference has been running rampant. These are going relatively unnoticed in Ottawa and the rest of the country, because it really isn’t driving federal policy.
That’s enough impact to hand liberals another minority even if their vote share grows massively, because the vacuum will be exposed only in concentrated areas with ridings.
We have not seen this because Trudeau was actually liked in these ridings since 2015.
I like carney but boy do I have trust issues with LPc as a whole. Minority government suits them. Especially, this more centre maybe even right leaning compared to their he Trudeau /singh era
I fail to understand the „surge“. Nothing has changed since Trudeau… Canadians are worse off than ever…and people who dont see it must live in a bubble.
Somewhere in the last few months the CPC vote support inflected and i cant understand what the trigger was