Die meisten Kanadier sind über das mögliche Ende von CUSMA nicht beunruhigt

https://open.substack.com/pub/davidcoletto/p/most-canadians-are-not-alarmed-about?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=1j3aab

6 Kommentare

  1. Most people can’t even do their own budget. Understanding trade deals is beyond their grasp.

  2. MightyHydrar on

    From a purely rational standpoint ending CUSMA and moving to a blanket tariff rate would be quite devastating. It would not just hurt exports in the short term, it would make it completely unattractive to do any sort of manufacturing in Canada (with maybe a handful of exceptions, but not many). 

    Interesting to see that what Carney is doing is broadly in line with what the general population wants to see. Also interesting in light of PPs recent „proposal“ to completely cut off China in hopes the US don’t dismantle CUSMA, it doesn’t seem like a terribly popular option outside his own base

  3. CUSMA is not likely to end.

    It is up for review in July.

    6 months notice is required from that date to withdraw from CUSMA.

    In November, it is a near certainty that the democrats will control the House, which is the governing authority with regards to international trade agreements.

    The democrats will not agree with Trump to pull put of CUSMA.

  4. I think no matter what, people have to worry about affordability and being laid off, with or without CUSMA. Those issues got worse while CUSMA and even NAFTA were in force. Without CUSMA, that’s probably going to get worse, yeah, but it’s not going to be a new feeling.

    At the same time, this article does show that about 20% more Canadians think losing CUSMA is bad than those that think losing CUSMA is good, which I think works against the title.

  5. I think they’re just worn out hearing about it. It’ll suck if it goes, but the US has made it clear they don’t believe in mutually beneficial agreements. I’d rather have no deal than a shitty deal, and it’s not like we can trust whatever agreements we make with them anyway.

  6. Isn’t it that once the U.S gives notice that they want out of CUSMA, it takes 10 years for the process to run it’s course? Ten years. That’s 3 U.S administrations that would need to agree with leaving CUSMA. What are the chances? If you believe that the DEMS would win an election at some point in a 10 year period, it seems far-fetched that at some point the withdrawal process would be halted. No?

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