Hallo Leute, in einem früheren Leben habe ich an Raketenleitcomputern gearbeitet, also dachte ich, ich könnte einen Teil dieses Wissens in einer vereinfachten Visualisierung umsetzen, um zu erklären, warum so viele zivile Infrastrukturen von iranischen Angriffen mit ballistischen Raketen getroffen werden. Die Quintessenz ist, dass die Munition Irans nicht besonders präzise ist.
Bei der Visualisierung handelt es sich um eine interaktive einseitige HTML-Site, und ich versuche, einen Ort zu finden, an dem ich sie hosten kann. Hier ist das Zentrum des Hauptquartiers der 5. US-Flotte bei der NSA Bahrain zu sehen.
BEARBEITEN: https://iran-missiles.neocities.org
Von TheForsaken69
19 Kommentare
Assuming you work for Iranian intelligence and you know for a fact what they’re targeting then I suppose so
Yeah they’re firing from a little further away than a B17 would have been.
**Sources**
**Iranian Missile CEP Data:**
– CSIS Missile Threat Project — [Shahab-3](https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile/shahab-3/), [Qiam-1](https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile/qiam-1/), [Emad](https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile/emad/)
– IISS, *The Military Balance 2024* — Iranian ballistic missile accuracy estimates
– Congressional Research Service, [„Iran’s Ballistic Missile and Space Launch Programs“](https://sgp.fas.org/crs/nuke/IF10938.pdf) — CEP ranges for Shahab-series variants
– The 850 m „mixed volley average“ is a composite estimate reflecting operational accuracy of mixed Shahab-3/Qiam volleys, as assessed in post-strike analyses of the January 2020 Al Asad attack and April 2024 strikes
**Historical Comparison Data:**
– German V-2 (17,000 m CEP): Neufeld, Michael J., *The Rocket and the Reich* (1995). Operational CEP against London 1944–45 was approximately 17 km, consistent with [V-2 data from the Smithsonian National Air and Space Museum](https://airandspace.si.edu/collection-objects/missile-surface-surface-v-2-a-4/nasm_A19600342000)
– B-17 Norden Bombsight (370 m CEP): *United States Strategic Bombing Survey, Summary Report (European War)* (1945). Eighth Air Force 1943 operational bombing accuracy averaged ~1,200 ft circular error; see also Werrell, Kenneth P., *Blankets of Fire* (1996) and [Air Force Historical Studies Office analyses](https://www.afhistory.af.mil/)
**Erbil 2024 Strike:**
– [„Iran launches missiles at Iraq’s Erbil in attack on ’spy headquarters'“](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/explosions-heard-erbil-iraqi-kurdistan-region-reuters-witness-2024-01-15/) — Reuters, January 15, 2024
**Base Locations:**
– Coordinates derived from publicly available satellite imagery via [OpenStreetMap](https://www.openstreetmap.org/) and [Esri World Imagery](https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=10df2279f9684e4a9f6a7f08febac2a9)
**Civilian Infrastructure (Joint Base Andrews):**
– All 23 civilian sites verified via [Google Places API](https://developers.google.com/maps/documentation/places/web-service) with address-level confirmation
**Civilian Infrastructure (Middle East Bases):**
– Approximate locations sourced from [OpenStreetMap](https://www.openstreetmap.org/) and publicly available mapping data. Includes verified landmarks: Al Fateh Grand Mosque (Bahrain), Cathedral of St. Joseph Ankawa (Erbil), Azraq Wetland Reserve ([Ramsar Convention listing](https://rsis.ramsar.org/ris/1109)), Azraq Refugee Camp ([UNHCR Jordan](https://www.unhcr.org/jo/azraq-camp))
**What is CEP?:**
– [„Circular Error Probable“](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Circular_error_probable) — standard NATO measure; 50% of munitions land within the CEP radius, the other 50% land *outside*, potentially much farther
I thought the debris collateral was from the defenders shooting down the incoming drones/missiles?
A B 17 is what 10k fertig from it’s target when it drops.
Iran is a fair bit with away than that.
Are you sure? Some are very accurate.
Like the US base personal that moved to the hotels to use the people there as human shields, they were hit with accurate fire.
Compare it to the accuracy of a V2
To be fair, completely different degradation factors in these cases.
All this kinda goes to shit when you realize they’re targeting ports, airports, and hotels housing US troops
I mean one side have worldwide array of satellites to guide everything, and air superiority. The other must try to hit something with all AA missles, radio and other interference against them? Did i get it right?
Are they just throwing out junk right now to try and deplete defenses?
This isn’t bug it’s a feature. Iran gets to say they’re aiming at legitimate military targets, and if you’re upset about your civilians getting killed, maybe you should rethink letting the Americans build bases in your tiny country.
Does this map include impact from missiles that were shot down? Nothing has overshot the target into the water, just fallen short.
You need volume…. Iran has volume, as history has show
Shown low tech to bloody American forces makes them give up…. you don’t beat the u.s just make it politically toxic to continue
I don’t think Iran cares about accuracy, everyone is a target to them.
They’re trying their best!
Same reliability as the USA tomahawks?
We all saw what happened in Nigeria
Luckily they dont have the american/israeli school and hospital seeking tech
Perhaps their weapons weren’t as good as we were sold… er I mean told.