Die IBM-Aktie stürzt um 10 % ab, nachdem Anthropic das COBOL-KI-Tool auf den Markt bringt

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ibm-stock-tumbles-10-anthropic-194042677.html

21 Kommentare

  1. AmazonGlacialChasm on

    Whole tech market is down. Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Tesla and Meta combined lost around $300 billion today. News title seems to be just clickbait.

  2. loves_grapefruit on

    It seems like a kind of bad system when value can drastically change every time something random happens.

  3. spec-tickles on

    It’ll be interesting to be a part of the upcoming banking issues created by cobol vibe coding

  4. You want to let AI handle COBOL, the language we’re kinda worried about dying out (few learn it these days, those that know it are retiring, financial institutions use it and it’s sometimes just not feasible to modernize those systems).

    We’re about to party like it’s 1929.

  5. I wasn’t ware COBOL is still used in important fields. I remember when our company had to transition to a different software vendor like in 2016 when the COBOL based program we were using was constantly crashing and tech support had no good solutions as their last guy who knew COBOL was gone.

  6. Pretty sure this is not going to go as well as Anthropic thinks it will. A lot of COBOL codebases are written in their own “dialect” basically. The stylization that each system uses will vary and I don’t know if an AI tool will be able to pick up on nuance like that. Especially when these systems interact with other legacy systems that have weird limitations of their own.

  7. Another year, another magical new tool that will definitely totally get rid of all the cobol for us like magic for real this time without breaking anything. Don’t hold your breath.

  8. There are already lots of tools that convert COBOL systems to modern languages when possible.

  9. If you think COBOL maintainers get paid a lot now? They are going to be rolling in cash when Claude breaks some mission critical system that requires 99.999% uptime.

  10. Hopefully the Pentagon won’t put Claude on the ‘national security threat’ list that means gov’t can’t use it. Because the Gov’t needs this.

  11. TeamConsistent5240 on

    Eh, I can see this. Anthropic is pretty effective at translating code. There is so much IT spend sitting in mainframe that historically has not been torn out because the translation was too difficult. It’s the ultimate legacy, expensive to maintain IT infrastructure.

    People don’t understand, there is a whole cottage industry of cobal consultants (all over 50 lol), because it’s so archaic and hard to learn.

  12. Disgruntled-Cacti on

    I looked it up. It’s not a cobol specific tool, it’s just Claude code. It’s a several paragraph advertisement blurb about how Claude code could be used to modernize cobol (and not automatically, mind you) and it links to an anthropic training program. It also glosses over the true complexity and regulatory hurdles that this sort of operation actually takes in practice (and the fact that you still need cobol experts to review said code, of which there are few).

    The market movers have no idea what they’re doing.

  13. Embarrassed_Quit_450 on

    If I was a Cobol consultant I’d double my rates. There’s gonna be a lot of cobol slop to fix soon.

  14. This seems like a really bad idea. For one, I doubt there is enough information about COBOL written to actually get this to run reliably. I already run into issues with vibe coding the second I ask it to build something to interface with an API that’s for maybe the 3rd or 4th largest vendor in any given market sector. The idea that they’ll find enough information about COBOL to actually build anything that doesn’t immediately break a complex system sounds ludicrous to me.

    Other problem is that if they think they’re going to replace all COBOL devs with AI, how will they even know if the code that gets pushed will break anything? How can they proof it, has anthropic been given access to some banking back end and they know that it’ll never make a mistake? Wasn’t thinking about it before, but now I have „banking system receives vibe code update that wipes all account data“ on my potentials for the end of society.

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