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    1. Submission Statement: Russia’s economy is facing significant challenges in 2026, with a budget deficit that may be triple the official target due to a slump in oil and gas revenues and rising expenses. The country’s finance ministry plans to curb state spending, but this may not be enough to mitigate the effects of low energy prices, reduced oil sales to India, and potential action against Russian vessels by Western nations. [**Alexander Kolyandr**](https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexander-kolyandr-97b04790/) explains that as a result, Russia’s economy is likely to continue worsening, with high interest rates, inflation, and a debt-inflationary spiral, limiting the government’s ability to address the crisis and narrowing the Putin regime’s room for maneuver.

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