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    1. With the latest round of [talks taking place between Russia and Ukraine](https://inews.co.uk/news/world/trump-chance-end-russia-ukraine-war-putin-win-4209762?ico=in-line_link), a few brave souls are starting to contemplate the potential end of the war, or at least a temporarily ceasefire. But what might happen after a settlement is agreed is anyone’s guess.

      Some assume a peace deal would mean a return to stability in Europe and the end of Russian expansionism, but Carlo Masala, a professor of international politics at Bundeswehr University Munich and the bestselling author of *If Russia Wins: A Scenario,* has a different view.

      “They’re already in the process of replenishing their stocks,” he said of [Russia](https://inews.co.uk/topic/russia?ico=in-line_link). “We know that they’re producing roughly 500 new tanks and modernising others. There are also 600 ballistic and cruise missiles, the navy got a new $8bn program and the air force has been given money for modernisation, so they’re still working on the army of the future.”

      He added: “They’re producing things we don’t see [being sent to Ukraine](https://inews.co.uk/topic/russia-ukraine-war?ico=in-line_link).”

      In an interview with *The i Paper*, Masala said that the West massively underestimates its vulnerability – particularly as Russia’s strengths lie in deep-strike weapons that could reach across Western Europe.

      “The Russians have some military advantages we don’t have in Europe,” he said. “If the US doesn’t help us, we don’t have enough air defences, so if Russia sends their ballistic missiles and their cruise missiles to Great Britain or Germany, neither would be able to protect its major cities.”

      Masala’s book, published last year, outlined a scenario where the war ends with Russia taking a fifth of Ukrainian territory, which then emboldens it to further challenge Nato. Three years later, Russia invades Narva, a Russian-speaking city in Nato member [Estonia](https://inews.co.uk/topic/estonia?ico=in-line_link), testing the alliance’s resolve. An isolationist US president refuses to go to war over a tiny piece of Eastern Europe, highlighting Europe’s military weakness and paving the way for a wider conflict.

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