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  1. Submission Statement: Russia is increasingly turning to coercive and opportunistic partnerships as it seeks to offset growing international isolation. The emergence of “Midwinter” reflects a willingness by the Kremlin to work with violent, illiberal actors to project influence and apply pressure abroad. Sergiy Makogon contends that these relationships are less about long-term strategy than short-term utility, favoring intimidation and disruption over stability. While such alliances may provide immediate benefits, they also deepen Russia’s reliance on destabilizing networks that undermine regional security and democratic norms. Over time, this approach risks further isolating Moscow and entrenching a more corrosive foreign policy posture. 

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