The Venezuela crisis leads many to evoke a mistaken version of American history—a caricature that disregards the actual policies and strategies of leaders such as William McKinley and Theodore Roosevelt—writes senior fellow Philip Zelikow. He presents four assertions about the present crisis: 1) The Caribbean Basin is not the Western Hemisphere. Zelikow emphasizes that the top US interest in the Western Hemisphere should be the stability and cohesion of Mexico. 2) There is no evident strategy to turn around Venezuela. 3) There is no evident strategy to knock back the transnational criminal cartels. 4) As some US officials scorn international law, the United States relies on it. The US government relies on international maritime law to go after the tankers that are so much in the news.
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Well, I really have a hard time to understand how so experience person can state „no evident strategy to turn around Venezuela“. There are clearly a strategy – you can like it or not, agreed or not – but there is. That strategy is to combine economy and military power to make Venezuela government comply and limit it’s power in foreign and internal policy- without direct local involvement. It is a strategy. Yes, it is a strategy without pre-set exact target „we are going to get this exact thing then“ – and one can argue it is right approach to a thing, to let it evolve. Equally it is not quite true „There are precedents where foreign governments, including the United States, have taken effective control of another country’s revenue.“ He surely knows it was Oil-for-Food Programme for Iraq. Not a one country – based, but in other part – very much so.
Is that a right strategy for Venezuela – time will tell. But so far nothing bed did happen. As a matter of fact most dangerous looks way high expectation administration seems have from Venezuela oil industry restore – that seems the biggest risk factor now.
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The Venezuela crisis leads many to evoke a mistaken version of American history—a caricature that disregards the actual policies and strategies of leaders such as William McKinley and Theodore Roosevelt—writes senior fellow Philip Zelikow. He presents four assertions about the present crisis: 1) The Caribbean Basin is not the Western Hemisphere. Zelikow emphasizes that the top US interest in the Western Hemisphere should be the stability and cohesion of Mexico. 2) There is no evident strategy to turn around Venezuela. 3) There is no evident strategy to knock back the transnational criminal cartels. 4) As some US officials scorn international law, the United States relies on it. The US government relies on international maritime law to go after the tankers that are so much in the news.
Well, I really have a hard time to understand how so experience person can state „no evident strategy to turn around Venezuela“. There are clearly a strategy – you can like it or not, agreed or not – but there is. That strategy is to combine economy and military power to make Venezuela government comply and limit it’s power in foreign and internal policy- without direct local involvement. It is a strategy. Yes, it is a strategy without pre-set exact target „we are going to get this exact thing then“ – and one can argue it is right approach to a thing, to let it evolve. Equally it is not quite true „There are precedents where foreign governments, including the United States, have taken effective control of another country’s revenue.“ He surely knows it was Oil-for-Food Programme for Iraq. Not a one country – based, but in other part – very much so.
Is that a right strategy for Venezuela – time will tell. But so far nothing bed did happen. As a matter of fact most dangerous looks way high expectation administration seems have from Venezuela oil industry restore – that seems the biggest risk factor now.