Die demografische Entwicklung im Nahen Osten verändert sich
Von vladgrinch
Die demografische Entwicklung im Nahen Osten verändert sich
Von vladgrinch
26 Kommentare
I wonder how KSA economy would look like with a 10USD per barrel, as most countries will rely more and more on non-fossil fuels.
I’d really like to see how TF Egypt doubles in size in 75 years when they’re literally running out of water and currently at the tipping point of total collapse.
In Turkey, the population replacement rate is not uniform. Turkish are declining faster than the Kurdish and other minorities, including refugees, who are actually increasing.
This is not a right wing propaganda post, fuck them. Just putting more context on the „demographic shift“, which is deliberately orchestrated by Erdoğan.
Sources for studies?
I remember how even in the late 00’s, there were still lagging assumptions that East Asian countries „will double their demographics in the 2050, due to traditionalist family culture“. It was literally told to me in a school.
Some of these countries have fertility rate of less than one child per woman now.
And The Middle East is following steps of the worldwide demographic shift, defined by socioeconomic factors. Cultural assumptions proved themselves to be completely unreliable on a big scale.
The Irap is running out of water or not?
If we don’t stop the climate change nobody can live in most parts of Middle East.
And if we stop it the economy map of the region will change extremely.
First of all, Syria’s population is under 20 million right now.
The only ones I can legitimately believe are Iraq and Yemen. They have birth rates closer to African nations to this day.
Saudi Arabia has drastically changed in recent years. Born 90s Millenials and Gen Z are not having kids at a high rate .Even with demographic momentum, I doubt the current Saudi Arab population(wich is just over 25 million) will reach 70 million unless we are including temporary immigrants in the mix.
How will Egypt sustain 200 million people if the current 100 million plus is already experiencing water stress?? This is a demographic timebomb right on the doorsteps of Europe and the Gulf!
After the Gaza war, and based on what I am reading online, I doubt the Palestinian population will double. Gaza will experience a Kosovo style exodus of young people, the moment those borders are opened and countries start to accept them in small numbers scattered across the globe.
Even before the war, 350k Gazans had left. 100k had pending applications to exit Gaza in mid 2023. The strip was already dying long before the war.
As for the West Bank. What kept the West Bank from experiencing a massive exodus was because Israel employing a third of the workforce in its settlements and inside Israel itself. They are now hiring Chinese, Indians, Tajiks, Uzbeks, Nepalese etc to replace them and even now Jordanians in places like Eliat.
I am 100% sure that if Lebanon and Israel ever normalize, Christians and Druze at least will be allowed to work in Israel the same way Syrian Druze can now work in the Golan Heights.
The West Bankers will thus be forced to emigrate just for work alone.
Populations of Egypt, Iran and Turkey were close (55~60M) in the early 90s.
It would be so good if atheism were established in that region.
I don’t see either Iraq or Egypt being able to sustain populations of that size without massive instability.
Sure, the UAE population will more than double when the TFR is 1.2. What BS.
Half of the Middle Eastern population is already in Turkey.
Egypt, Iraq and Yemen can’t even sustain 20% increase in their population without resorting to yet another civil war
There aren’t enough natural resources to sustain that kinda population, namely, there’s no water.
Whoever made this map is definitely bullshitting
This seems very unlikely. Especially Egypt
No way Yemen will have 110 million people
60 years ago Turkıye was highest in the region.
still cannot see these numbers for 2100 especially Egypt Yemen Suudi and Iraq
Yeah I kinda doubt this. Most of these countries aside from Iran and Turkey are mostly desert. The Saudi Arabia and UAE population are mostly foreign born labourers, most of whom are men there without their families.
What kind of data justifies hypothesis that turkey would drop so much ? Smells like nonsense
This is by no means accurate at all
Ah yes my newborn baby doubled his weigh in 4 years when he will be 80 years old he will weigh 10 tons!
Source: Trust me bro
Gobbledygook. Yemen doesn’t have enough water TODAY. Yemen cannot and will not support 100 million people. These estimations from 80 years out are essentially worthless. 5 years? Sure. 10. Maybe. 20. Ugh. 80? Toss it.
Egypt should become an industrial powerhouse
Trust me bro
Egypt’s fertility rate will go below 2.1 before 2027 I think it wont even reach 140 million
Iran and Turkey is going to get swarmed