Meinung: Wie soll Kanada mit den neuen, irrationalen Vereinigten Staaten umgehen?
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-munir-sheikh-canada-handle-irrational-united-states/
Meinung: Wie soll Kanada mit den neuen, irrationalen Vereinigten Staaten umgehen?
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-munir-sheikh-canada-handle-irrational-united-states/
4 Kommentare
I find this is a fairly balanced article that aligns with how i think we should approach relations with the US.
>We need to take the following *rational* steps, because we can’t afford to counter collective irrationality with our own. First, we must diagnose it. This involves a two-part test: is there contradiction between stated goals and expected outcomes, and is the contradiction invisible to those inside the bubble. Second, for every policy step we take, we must ask: would these steps shift those experiencing collective irrationality toward rational behaviour? If the actions won’t, don’t do them. Third: Would our counter-policy steps make *our* outcomes better or worse? If it’s the latter, again, we shouldn’t do them. Fourth: Is the timing of the effects of our policy actions synchronized with the adverse consequences and the expected duration of collective irrationality?
Many here advocate for our own irrational responses (as shown with open our doors to China or ignoring expert advice on F-35 in favour of the Gripen), and some, I suspect, always wanted those policy outcomes but would have sounded like a lunatic before Trump 2.0, now they think they are carte blacnhe to suggest and signal boost it.
You don’t handle them. You move on, look for other trading partners, and endure the next few years. The whole „Elbows Up“ thing that people ate up was stupid from the beginning. Conservatives had the better approach by not making a big deal of it publicly, while Carney was trying to act tough in front of a narcissist he has no leverage on.
Duck and Weave. If things hold the way they are, Trump’s brand is failing.
Don’t rush into a deal that isn’t going to be even approved by congress anyway (this step has to be done for CUSMA)
Mitigate the short term; strategize the long term.
Wait for the mid terms to signal a shift in voter intent. Don’t bother offering significant concessions around CUSMA.
With the heavy use of executive orders, I’m not sure what can be done even if the house and senate flip by some miracle.
So we are still more than three years out from any prospect of real change. Tighten up the seatbelts.