Prognose zur Bevölkerungsveränderung in den USA
Von NSFWByAccident
Prognose zur Bevölkerungsveränderung in den USA
Von NSFWByAccident
20 Kommentare
Ha NY population increase go figure
Does this take into account any climate change? That north might look better then.
The modeling seems to put significant weight on recent population trends, which is usually sensible but runs into some issues. The most prominent is the high population growth forecast in North Dakota. Between 2010 and 2020, ND was the fourth-fastest-growing state because of the development of oil extraction in the Bakken. But the Bakken can’t be developed a second time, and ND’s future population will probably waver with the oil market cycle, so persisting the strong growth of the 2010s is not reasonable.
This is likely to be extremely inaccurate; it relies on trends as they currently have existed over the past 25 years rather than what will be over the next 25. Those can be similar or related but they could also be drastically different.
Utah, for example, is likely to see growth slow as the Salt Lake Valley runs out of water and space for new homes. There are geographic restricts by mountains and bodies of water that limit potential growth.
Ohio’s starting to see growth with the advent of remote jobs and affordable housing attracting young families.
Austin and San Antonio are two metros
expected to see the greatest slowdowns in growth over the next 10 years. This clearly doesn’t take those predictions into account.
Who’d have guessed North Dakota would be such a hot ticket?
This is based on pre-MAGA era numbers. Get ready for collapsing immigration and birth rates. We’re going to lucky if the US is above water in population in 10 years, let alone 25. Birth rates are also collapsing globally, so even when immigration inevitably becomes looser again, there will be fewer young adults around the world to migrate to countries like the US.
gonna need more highways for all those folks
Hey look 10 people moved to North Dakota
Wisconsin’s projections are going to be very very off. 24 to 25 our population was estimated to pass the 6 million mark and none of the projections I’ve seen ever had us passing 5.9 million. It’s going to way underestimate our growth.
If this is accurate Texas will prove once again it can always get worse. 8 million more people in that desolate wasteland its like they just WANT hell on earth.
Btw Texas does not want you to live there, unless of course you’re a Texan. That’s just how it be idk 🤷
This is pretty poor guessing.
I don’t like this map shape wise
None of these projections ever take climate change into account. Yeah, good luck moving to Texas or Florida in 2045 when the wet-bulb temperatures are nearly life-threatening in the summertime, the whole grid fails to keep up with the increased cooling demand leading to constant rolling blackouts, and the whole state (especially Florida) becomes an overdeveloped wasteland with not enough access to clean water. Already happening in Arizona.
Texas absolutely can’t support this much influx; our water supply and infrastructure are already absolutely blasted with the 30 million we have now. Can’t even imagine having close to 40 million
Interesting that people are leaving Mississippi, but going to Alabama, on a net basis
Finally, a graph showing the reality of Illinois and Chicago. Nobody actually likes to live there. They’re just lying to themselves because they’re family is all there or didn’t want to pay up to live somewhere nicer.
Minnesota is losing population right now while Wisconsin is adding. How do they arrive at a 10% MN population gain and WI population loss by 2050?
As has been said by multiple commenters, this is unlikely to be accurate. Maybe in the very near future but over a long period of time trends shift for a variety of reasons. It’s plausible that accelerating climate change alone will cause large deviations from this prediction in certain states.
The new York and New Jersey numbers seem off. The Hasidic community in these states are growing like crazy.