If Poilievre wants to unravel anything it is the traditional NDP and Bloq supporters who have placed trust in Carney. I cannot see PP improving any more than the around 40% under any circumstances but I can see the Liberal support from other parties going home and splitting the vote. The only problem is that PP in trying to win his own far right support from the Peoples Party and Convoy crowds which is the galvanizing factor for Carneys support. Carney is vulnerable in needing to show real progress on complex issues. Time is not on the Liberals side necessarily because people are generally not patient and an economy cannot benefit only the most wealthy and only look good at a top level. Benefits need to be shared.
Dusk_Soldier on
I think his campaign has been too focused on drumming up his base.
To get to the next level he needs to offer up a wedge issue that will split LPC and NDP voters.
NDP has shown that they have no real idea what they’re doing, and voters increasingly see them as unserious party run by university students.
If he builds his campaign around hoping for the NDP to rebound on their own, or for Liberal party fatique to come back, he’ll likely miss his window of opportunity.
The Elbows up strategy has been very effective for the Liberal Party. It’s very easy to twist anything Trump says as an existential threat. So no matter what opinion polls say right now, the media can always bring that issue back.
Like it seems like the CPC strategy revolves around waiting for Boomers to die out, but a lot of Boomers live in high cost of living ridings that NDP/CPC voters can’t afford to move into. So they won’t actually flip no matter what happens.
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If Poilievre wants to unravel anything it is the traditional NDP and Bloq supporters who have placed trust in Carney. I cannot see PP improving any more than the around 40% under any circumstances but I can see the Liberal support from other parties going home and splitting the vote. The only problem is that PP in trying to win his own far right support from the Peoples Party and Convoy crowds which is the galvanizing factor for Carneys support. Carney is vulnerable in needing to show real progress on complex issues. Time is not on the Liberals side necessarily because people are generally not patient and an economy cannot benefit only the most wealthy and only look good at a top level. Benefits need to be shared.
I think his campaign has been too focused on drumming up his base.
To get to the next level he needs to offer up a wedge issue that will split LPC and NDP voters.
NDP has shown that they have no real idea what they’re doing, and voters increasingly see them as unserious party run by university students.
If he builds his campaign around hoping for the NDP to rebound on their own, or for Liberal party fatique to come back, he’ll likely miss his window of opportunity.
The Elbows up strategy has been very effective for the Liberal Party. It’s very easy to twist anything Trump says as an existential threat. So no matter what opinion polls say right now, the media can always bring that issue back.
Like it seems like the CPC strategy revolves around waiting for Boomers to die out, but a lot of Boomers live in high cost of living ridings that NDP/CPC voters can’t afford to move into. So they won’t actually flip no matter what happens.