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    1. Garbage_Plastic on

      * China benefits from Russia’s isolation

      >Beijing gains politically and economically from Moscow’s rupture with the West, securing discounted Russian energy and expanding Chinese exports and brands in the Russian market.

      * Russia has become dependent on China

      >Cut off from Europe, Moscow now relies heavily on Beijing for energy sales, trade, infrastructure investment, and potentially military cooperation, effectively turning Russia into China’s junior partner.

      * Beijing has little incentive to end the war

      >As long as Russia remains bogged down in Ukraine, China enjoys cheap resources and greater leverage, reducing any urgency to pressure the Kremlin to halt military operations.

      * China maintains strategic ambiguity

      >While avoiding open support for Russia’s war aims, Beijing strengthens ties behind the scenes and adopts a neutral diplomatic stance on Ukraine to preserve flexibility and international standing.

      * Moscow is geopolitically trapped

      >Russia depends economically on China while hoping the United States can help end the war on favourable terms, leaving it caught between two rivals and with diminishing strategic autonomy.

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