Fed wird mehr als die Hälfte der Wohnungsausgaben kürzen und nur 26.000 Wohnungen bauen: Haushaltswächter | CBC-Nachrichten

some TLDR technicalities that are not communicated at all by this click bait headline

a large portion of the declined funding is expiring programs like the housing acceleration fund. The affordable housing fund and Canadian housing benefit. As opposed to direct cuts. among some other programs. So calling it ‚a cut‘ is inaccurate. And that’s also assuming the government doesnt extend the expiries. Which we will have to wait and see. And will personally be quite annoyed if that doesnt occur but many of the expiries dont occur until 2029.

This file is all smoke and mirrors. 
> „This is just the beginning and we’re gonna deliver a ton of affordable housing and we’re going to leverage a lot of investment from across Canada to get that done.“

The redevelopment of Tunney’s Pasture started in 2009 and it’s almost 20 years later and it’s a whole lot of nothing. Expect multiple master plans and consultations. „What modern Canada is actual set up to produce“ : https://youtu.be/XLcuqk1x2T4?si=-mPbi-3-jxBUP1yw

I just love this video cause it comes across as a parody in light of the talking points. This is *not a new crisis*, I literally predicted the fall of Trudeau in 2019 due to housing + massive immigration and got laughed at. „Don’t worry we build lots of houses in this country. “

This is relevant just because the scale of the problem is to largely stand still since the master goal which is been repeated over and over is: *a large plateau* where wages slowly raise to restore affordability without crashing asset prices while at the same time adding enormous volumes of additonal supply (which is not cheap to build) in order to keep the neoliberal demographic growth machine fed through absorbing what I have been calling „the last best west 2.0“ which is the roughly 17 years of „record immigration“ year on year between Harper and Trudeau. 

– CMCH says we need 430-480k in new homes per year for a decade, which is about double of what we actually build 
– PBO says we need 630k in addition to what we build on average in a decade
– Habitat for Humanity and Missing Middle and some others say to actually restore affordability – keep in mind cost of living is structurally squeezing us with a smaller surplus and that „cost of living“ includes declining EROEI and increasing debt burdens not just supply of staples – put the number more like 3 – 4 million to actually restore affordability. This is the accumulative CMCH number over baseline. 

Which brings me back to Tunneys Pasture and the Canada that actually exists in the now. This is what Canada is designed to produce: slow, risk adverse, expensive master plans that not actually get stuff built at scale. Canada is a medium capacity state that builds like Belgium but thinks it’s the same state from the 1950s that can build big things quickly, while *not actually changing anything of substance.* Ironically if Canada was serious I honestly think their should be a Royal Commission on the Housing Crisis. Which sounds like more talk and no action but I’ve noticed *we have completely given up on Royal Commissions on Big Complex Problem* in favour of „trust the mandrains & technocratic elite in Ottawa, Toronto & Montreal.“ ahhh I don’t. You guys spend 20 years getting paid to work on the same master plan. 

I have a little faith but not much. But we gotta keep pressure up on this file for results.

The TLDR is still: big big problem *scale*, *simple problem*, *complex solutions*, *math not mathing* on solutions. Ergo: likely failure, big big problems if we fail on this file. Social contract breaking. High trust society failing.