Note: Wage data cover non-farm wage and salary workers and do not cover the self-employed, owners and partners in unincorporated firms, or household workers.
urb5tar on
Nuclear Power reactor operators … disaster incoming.
ExpensiveBurn on
Timing Device Assemblers & Adjusters is projected to lose 0 jobs, or… 17% of the workforce? How does that math?
* Newer BLS data!
* This is a slightly different cut of the data; sorted by percent change in each occupation’s employment instead of total change
Some of the jobs on this list might not surprise folks (we still have telephone operators?), but a few (nuclear power reactor operators, ESL teachers) stood out to me.
Luckily, the BLS is still forecasting the demise of telemarketers.
Spirol on
So Customer Service, office/administration, mining, fabrication, adult education and nuclear maintenance is the first to go. Sounds a little bit concerning, but at least those pesky telemarketers will be replaced by ai bots that calls you around the clock.
dertechie on
Lotta manufacturing and mining on this list.
DramaticSimple4315 on
So the latest rightist-MAGA influencer tradwife bullcrap has been that now because of ChatGPT universities are useless and liberal cesspools and that everyone should abandon education and find a trade school because culture, math, analytical thinking do not matter anymore.
Whereas the reality is that as AI is coming for a lot of intellectual occupations, robotization is coming for a lot of trade school manual or factory jobs, unskilled and skilled, at the same time.
exbm on
I’m surprised most of these jobs still exist.
risk24 on
Can someone explain the reasoning behind the adult education projected numbers?
2XX2010 on
Oh no… not the telemarketers… when will this travesty… oh look a butterfly
fencerman on
Notice how many of those are „trades“.
Affectionate-Panic-1 on
I don’t think we’ll see a lot of nuclear plant retirements over the next 10 years. AI is increasing power consumption, unlike last decade where consumption was dropping due to LED lights and other efficiency improvements. Plus it feels as if there’s less political fight to close down nuclear stations than there was in the aftermath of the Japan Fukushima accident.
Feel like the plant retirements from the past 10-15 years are why that nuclear power operator field shows as negative (someone correct me if that’s been automated).
Puzzled_Cycle_71 on
AI will shake this up dramatically
LetLongjumping on
That looks to be about 200k jobs lost in ten years. Do i get that right? For the people in these jobs it’s a challenge. However, during that period, the BLS projects 6 million new jobs. With a current 169 Million, the 200k lost represents a whopping 0.1% of jobs
v3bbkZif6TjGR38KmfyL on
Grinding and polishing workers than use their feet are safe… For now.
20 Kommentare
Source: [Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections program,](https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/fastest-declining-occupations.htm)
Tools: Datawrapper, Illustrator
Note: Wage data cover non-farm wage and salary workers and do not cover the self-employed, owners and partners in unincorporated firms, or household workers.
Nuclear Power reactor operators … disaster incoming.
Timing Device Assemblers & Adjusters is projected to lose 0 jobs, or… 17% of the workforce? How does that math?
This is a slightly different version of a [chart](https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/1l2g3vu/oc_projected_job_loss_in_the_us/) I posted earlier this year with a couple of changes
* Newer BLS data!
* This is a slightly different cut of the data; sorted by percent change in each occupation’s employment instead of total change
Some of the jobs on this list might not surprise folks (we still have telephone operators?), but a few (nuclear power reactor operators, ESL teachers) stood out to me.
Luckily, the BLS is still forecasting the demise of telemarketers.
So Customer Service, office/administration, mining, fabrication, adult education and nuclear maintenance is the first to go. Sounds a little bit concerning, but at least those pesky telemarketers will be replaced by ai bots that calls you around the clock.
Lotta manufacturing and mining on this list.
So the latest rightist-MAGA influencer tradwife bullcrap has been that now because of ChatGPT universities are useless and liberal cesspools and that everyone should abandon education and find a trade school because culture, math, analytical thinking do not matter anymore.
Whereas the reality is that as AI is coming for a lot of intellectual occupations, robotization is coming for a lot of trade school manual or factory jobs, unskilled and skilled, at the same time.
I’m surprised most of these jobs still exist.
Can someone explain the reasoning behind the adult education projected numbers?
Oh no… not the telemarketers… when will this travesty… oh look a butterfly
Notice how many of those are „trades“.
I don’t think we’ll see a lot of nuclear plant retirements over the next 10 years. AI is increasing power consumption, unlike last decade where consumption was dropping due to LED lights and other efficiency improvements. Plus it feels as if there’s less political fight to close down nuclear stations than there was in the aftermath of the Japan Fukushima accident.
Feel like the plant retirements from the past 10-15 years are why that nuclear power operator field shows as negative (someone correct me if that’s been automated).
AI will shake this up dramatically
That looks to be about 200k jobs lost in ten years. Do i get that right? For the people in these jobs it’s a challenge. However, during that period, the BLS projects 6 million new jobs. With a current 169 Million, the 200k lost represents a whopping 0.1% of jobs
Grinding and polishing workers than use their feet are safe… For now.
About a decade ago, I read Frey and Osborne’s [paper on occupation computerization](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0040162516302244) and to this day, aside from the rise of generational models, it continues to predict automation trends pretty well.
> projected
How could the projections have been influenced by the AI hype cycle?
Any jobs growing? Besides „AI Prompt Ninja/Vibe Coder“?
As a machinist I’m stunned at this list. It’s hard to find guys worth hiring.
Adult basic ed, adult secondary ed, and English as a second language instructors are largely funded through federal grants that have taken a huge cut.