There comes a point in any leadership crisis when you’ve gone past the top of the parabola, that point where some set of actions can save the situation, and then you’re doomed no matter what you do. Shows of strength or compromise, every conceivable act of defiance or reconciliation becomes seen as weakness.
Maybe there are 10-15 MPs who are looking for the exits, but what counts is all the other MPs and grassroots, all of which, even if they think you’re the best, begin to think that maybe it’s best if you resign, for everyone’s benefit.
I suppose Poilievre could do something, but everything indicates there has been a ground war being fought since Election night. He’s ticked off enough of the grassroots that his support at that level is compromised. His own MPs, even his allies, are likely fearful that more resignations and floor crossings, or even the hint of them, is going to turn the Tory caucus into a swamp of paranoia and recrimination.
I don’t see him surviving this one, simply because it’s gone on too long. He has gone back on his earlier concession to sideline Byrne, which was the most specific and unified demand from caucus and other ranking Tories. In a very visceral way it demonstrates Poilievre’s biggest problem. He is just not an adaptable creature, he is not capable of adjusting course. Whether its hubris, lack of imagination, cognitive bias, it all means the same thing. He only knows one way to do things, and can’t help himself from using it even when it’s hurting him.
Nate33322 on
Frankly I think he’d welcome resignations as he can fill their places with loyalist MPs. He already has the base on his side so by securing the loyalty of MPs through weeding out his enemies.
I think people here underestimate how strong Poilievre’s position unfortunately is.
samjp910 on
People all over the right were galvanised by Poilievre because of the anti-Trudeau era. But to build a realistic vision in opposition to Carney now, with PP at the helm, would mean going so far off the deep-end with their nativism and his MAGA-inspired grievance politics to betray the foundations of Harper’s Conservative project, agree or disagree, while dooming them from power in a country that is overall more socially and economically progressive than not. But without the promise of a Conservative slam dunk on the Libs, what holds together big city corporatists, prairie racists and blue blood tories?
I’m quite enjoying the NDP leadership race. It’s so civil I actually feel hope.
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There comes a point in any leadership crisis when you’ve gone past the top of the parabola, that point where some set of actions can save the situation, and then you’re doomed no matter what you do. Shows of strength or compromise, every conceivable act of defiance or reconciliation becomes seen as weakness.
Maybe there are 10-15 MPs who are looking for the exits, but what counts is all the other MPs and grassroots, all of which, even if they think you’re the best, begin to think that maybe it’s best if you resign, for everyone’s benefit.
I suppose Poilievre could do something, but everything indicates there has been a ground war being fought since Election night. He’s ticked off enough of the grassroots that his support at that level is compromised. His own MPs, even his allies, are likely fearful that more resignations and floor crossings, or even the hint of them, is going to turn the Tory caucus into a swamp of paranoia and recrimination.
I don’t see him surviving this one, simply because it’s gone on too long. He has gone back on his earlier concession to sideline Byrne, which was the most specific and unified demand from caucus and other ranking Tories. In a very visceral way it demonstrates Poilievre’s biggest problem. He is just not an adaptable creature, he is not capable of adjusting course. Whether its hubris, lack of imagination, cognitive bias, it all means the same thing. He only knows one way to do things, and can’t help himself from using it even when it’s hurting him.
Frankly I think he’d welcome resignations as he can fill their places with loyalist MPs. He already has the base on his side so by securing the loyalty of MPs through weeding out his enemies.
I think people here underestimate how strong Poilievre’s position unfortunately is.
People all over the right were galvanised by Poilievre because of the anti-Trudeau era. But to build a realistic vision in opposition to Carney now, with PP at the helm, would mean going so far off the deep-end with their nativism and his MAGA-inspired grievance politics to betray the foundations of Harper’s Conservative project, agree or disagree, while dooming them from power in a country that is overall more socially and economically progressive than not. But without the promise of a Conservative slam dunk on the Libs, what holds together big city corporatists, prairie racists and blue blood tories?
I’m quite enjoying the NDP leadership race. It’s so civil I actually feel hope.