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    [OC] – Stellenangebote in den USA [JTSJOL] vs. S&P 500, wobei die vertikale Linie das Veröffentlichungsdatum von ChatGPT anzeigt

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    1. MetricT on

      My suspicion is the divergence in the graph is less „AI is eating jobs“ or „AI creates more revenue with fewer workers“, and more „AI is in a massive bubble and the stock market should be lower“. OpenAI engaging in moral hazard and trying to get a federal backstop („Heads we win, tails you lose“/“too big to fail“) tends to supports that conclusion

      AI is destroying some marginal jobs around the edges, but it’s proving harder to automate jobs than a lot of MBA’s thought, which is why [businesses are slowing their investments in AI](https://i.imgur.com/z8meK6E.png) in recent months.

      My sense is that business executives are pointing the finger at AI for layoffs rather than tariffs, business uncertainty, economic conditions to avoid risking Trump’s ire.

      Created with R, with job opening data pulled from FRED::JTSJOL, and S&P500 data from Yahoo Finance.

    3. commissionerahueston on

      I am sad to report that *this* data is, in fact, not beautiful.

      (But thank you for posting it OP!)

    5. om_steadily on

      I think there’s a bit of dangerous correlation/causation implication here. Your comment softens that somewhat, but my interpretation is that tariffs are forcing employers to cut costs while AI hype is keeping the market afloat.

    6. NJneer12 on

      When did interest rates start to change? I’ve heard that’s a better infliction point

    7. Electricengineer on

      no correlation to AI as its not mature yet, jobs were already going down. also, this isn’t the first time someone has posted this exact graph.

    8. ThinkOutTheBox on

      Can you put the grey vertical dash at every year instead of every 2.5 years?

    9. stupid_cat_face on

      I actually don’t think it’s all AI. I think that companies have slowed down their backfilling of jobs. People tend to leave and companies typically will backfill. I think ‚tariffs‘, the H1-B visa cost and uncertainty has led to companies just not backfilling and telling the current employees to ‚use AI‘ more.

    10. Purplekeyboard on

      I think we can all agree that correlation implies causation, so this graph shows a clear cause and effect relationship here.

      Now, if you’ll all excuse me, I’m going to go sell a bunch of ice cream. If I can sell enough, summer will appear.

    12. perrydolia on

      Classic logical fallacy, just because A preceeds B doe snot prove that A caused B.

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