I mean, this has been clear going off the polls for a while now. Seems like the sovereigntist/autonomist/nationalist side of the CAQ is leaving for the PQ while the federalist side is going towards the Liberals and the PCQ. It’s likely that this election will likely be a historical realignment to the norm of the Liberals & PQ being the largest parties in the legislature and that 2030 will probably be a direct showdown between those two.
The CAQ’s „autonomist/nationalist, but not separatist“ shtick seemed to appeal to voters between 2018 & 2022, but it doesn’t seem to be working anymore & voters are pretty fed up with Legault, leaving him and the CAQ to pivot more towards nationalist & sovierngtist voters with the secularism bills since they see the PQ as the largest threat.
Temaharay on
Is there even a CAQ without Legaut? Who knows. However we do know one thing, there is no CAQ **with** Legault still leading it.
Routine_Soup2022 on
I’m going to go out on a limb here and say that what the CAQ has done to their brand in help won’t help Conservatives federally which might lead into the calculations for whether or not make sure this budget coming up passes. Anyone else want to chime on the overlap between right-wing federal Conservatives and right-wing CAQ supporters?
KeyIntelligent9702 on
Two major unknowns for next year’s election:
1) Will Legault stay? He likely will, but if he decides to go, we saw what happened to the polls and election results when Trudeau decided to leave, so who knows what the impact of his departure would be.
2) Where is Pablo???? Pablo Rodriguez is nowhere to be seen since he was elected as the new leader of the Quebec Liberal Party, so it’s very hard for now to know where the Liberals numbers will go between now and the election.
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I mean, this has been clear going off the polls for a while now. Seems like the sovereigntist/autonomist/nationalist side of the CAQ is leaving for the PQ while the federalist side is going towards the Liberals and the PCQ. It’s likely that this election will likely be a historical realignment to the norm of the Liberals & PQ being the largest parties in the legislature and that 2030 will probably be a direct showdown between those two.
The CAQ’s „autonomist/nationalist, but not separatist“ shtick seemed to appeal to voters between 2018 & 2022, but it doesn’t seem to be working anymore & voters are pretty fed up with Legault, leaving him and the CAQ to pivot more towards nationalist & sovierngtist voters with the secularism bills since they see the PQ as the largest threat.
Is there even a CAQ without Legaut? Who knows. However we do know one thing, there is no CAQ **with** Legault still leading it.
I’m going to go out on a limb here and say that what the CAQ has done to their brand in help won’t help Conservatives federally which might lead into the calculations for whether or not make sure this budget coming up passes. Anyone else want to chime on the overlap between right-wing federal Conservatives and right-wing CAQ supporters?
Two major unknowns for next year’s election:
1) Will Legault stay? He likely will, but if he decides to go, we saw what happened to the polls and election results when Trudeau decided to leave, so who knows what the impact of his departure would be.
2) Where is Pablo???? Pablo Rodriguez is nowhere to be seen since he was elected as the new leader of the Quebec Liberal Party, so it’s very hard for now to know where the Liberals numbers will go between now and the election.